--- title: "Halfpipe case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Halfpipe ($296.97) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 19 items with odds, observed 57.68% over 50 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfpipe rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Halfpipe](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfpipe) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Halfpipe A case on CSGORoll (50%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfpipe?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfpipe?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfpipe) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfpipe?window=all) Price · $296.97 · 424 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $269.98 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · 57.68% · 50 openings, odds method Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 18.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 66.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 50 openings · below min 30 days · 50 openings · below min since tracking started · 50 openings · below min 17.0% 57.5% 98.0% **Small sample.** 50 openings and 8.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfpipe?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfpipe?window=7d) | 50 | 57.68% ±39.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfpipe) | 50 | 57.68% ±39.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfpipe?window=all) | 50 | 57.68% ±39.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 50 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $5,548 7,925 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $4,197 5,995 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-katowice-2014) | 1 in 400 | $4,035 5,765 coins | 3.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 667 | $3,622 5,175 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,716 3,880 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $1,552 2,217 coins | 4.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 50 | $1,387 1,982 coins | 10.3% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 222 | $1,309 1,870 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,292 1,845 coins | 4.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $795 1,136 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $708 1,011 coins | 6.6% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet) | 1 in 56 | $634 905 coins | 4.2% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $634 905 coins | 18.8% | 1 | 4.0 | 0.25× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 83 | $533 762 coins | 2.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $419 599 coins | 7.8% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× | | [Glock-18 \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $317 453 coins | 10.8% | 11 | 4.6 | 2.39× | | [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $274 391 coins | 7.1% | 1 | 3.5 | 0.29× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $253 361 coins | 8.4% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.44× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 50.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 30 | 25.0 | 1.20× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-field-tested) Hidden $300 428 coins $1,483 2,118 coins 4.95x 2026-11-04 23:53 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-well-worn) Hidden $300 428 coins $641 916 coins 2.14x 2026-11-06 23:49 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet) Hidden $300 428 coins $640 914 coins 2.13x 2026-11-06 23:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet) Hidden $300 428 coins $640 914 coins 2.13x 2026-11-04 23:55 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [L3MON™ csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/L3MON%E2%84%A2%20csgoroll.com) $300 428 coins $535 764 coins 1.78x 2026-11-06 11:47 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=halfpipe) [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $297 424 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:41 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $297 424 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:41 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $297 424 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:41 UTC [Glock-18 | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-emerald-factory-new) [Cecil Tyler](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Cecil%20Tyler) $297 424 coins $317 453 coins 1.07x 2026-11-09 17:41 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Cecil Tyler](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Cecil%20Tyler) $297 424 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:31 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $297 424 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:31 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $297 424 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:31 UTC [Glock-18 | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $297 424 coins $317 453 coins 1.07x 2026-11-09 17:31 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $300 428 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 23:51 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $300 428 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 23:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $297 | 90.91% | 19 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $300 | 90.91% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 36.9% high 0.3% extraordinary 10.1% epic 0.8% remarkable 2.0% consumer 50.0% best hit $1,483 (4.95x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt