--- title: "Halftime case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Halftime ($39.61) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 23 items with odds, observed 89.82% over 5,327 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halftime rendered: 2026-11-11T13:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Halftime](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halftime) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Halftime A case on CSGORoll (50%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halftime?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halftime?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halftime) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halftime?window=all) Price · $39.61 · 56.58 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $36.00 from 23 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.82% · 5,327 openings, odds method Variance · 3.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 18.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 80.44% ±22.43 250 openings 7 days · 90.89% ±5.44 4,243 openings 30 days · 89.82% ±4.85 5,327 openings since tracking started · 89.82% ±4.85 5,327 openings 57.5% 80.5% 103.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halftime?window=24h) | 250 | 80.44% ±22.4 | −0.9σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halftime?window=7d) | 4,243 | 90.89% ±5.44 | −0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halftime) | 5,327 | 89.82% ±4.85 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halftime?window=all) | 5,327 | 89.82% ±4.85 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,327 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 333,333 | $21.8K 31,155 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 250,000 | $4,281 6,115 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Well-Worn) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-well-worn) | 1 in 16,667 | $4,277 6,110 coins | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $3,458 4,940 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14,286 | $1,100 1,571 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,111 | $1,035 1,478 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,500 | $972 1,388 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $860 1,228 coins | 0.2% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $788 1,125 coins | 0.4% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.88× | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $295 421 coins | 0.2% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,222 | $268 383 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $202 289 coins | 0.4% | 10 | 4.3 | 2.35× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $193 275 coins | 7.5% | 61 | 74.9 | 0.81× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 556 | $188 268 coins | 0.9% | 10 | 9.6 | 1.04× | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $167 238 coins | 1.9% | 20 | 21.3 | 0.94× | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $158 226 coins | 16.6% | 209 | 201.5 | 1.04× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $80.50 115 coins | 15.7% | 349 | 372.9 | 0.94× | | [USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $78.40 112 coins | 10.9% | 271 | 266.4 | 1.02× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $59.91 85.58 coins | 13.3% | 439 | 426.2 | 1.03× | | [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 11.0% | $50.21 71.73 coins | 15.3% | 561 | 586.0 | 0.96× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 13.0% | $40.04 57.2 coins | 14.5% | 664 | 693.6 | 0.96× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 1,337 | 1331.8 | 1.00× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 1,391 | 1331.8 | 1.04× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-well-worn) [aBbe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/aBbe) $40.41 57.73 coins $4,270 6,100 coins 105.7x 2026-11-06 15:26 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $40.41 57.73 coins $939 1,342 coins 23.25x 2026-11-08 07:48 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $40.41 57.73 coins $798 1,140 coins 19.75x 2026-11-08 07:41 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) [Dab](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Dab) $40.41 57.73 coins $798 1,140 coins 19.75x 2026-11-06 00:47 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) [:)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%3A%29) $40.41 57.73 coins $798 1,140 coins 19.75x 2026-11-02 22:12 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=halftime) [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $39.61 56.58 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $39.61 56.58 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $39.61 56.58 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Doktoraiai](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Doktoraiai) $39.61 56.58 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $39.61 56.58 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $39.61 56.58 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $39.61 56.58 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $39.61 56.58 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [El Gamblino 𝓜𝓐𝓕𝓘𝓐](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/El%20Gamblino%20%F0%9D%93%9C%F0%9D%93%90%F0%9D%93%95%F0%9D%93%98%F0%9D%93%90) $39.61 56.58 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) Hidden $39.61 56.58 coins $80.50 115 coins 2.03x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $39.61 | 90.91% | 23 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $39.82 | 90.91% | 23 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $40.41 | 90.92% | 23 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 0.0% covert 30.2% contraband 0.0% extraordinary 3.8% classified 5.0% Ancient 11.0% consumer 50.0% best hit $4,270 (105.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt