--- title: "Halfway case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Halfway ($58.40) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 19 items with odds, observed 91.25% over 383 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfway rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Halfway](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfway) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Halfway A case on CSGORoll (50%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfway?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfway?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfway) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfway?window=all) Price · $58.40 · 83.43 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $53.09 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.25% · 383 openings, odds method Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 67.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 36 openings · below min 7 days · 98.06% ±14.29 310 openings 30 days · 91.25% ±12.86 383 openings since tracking started · 91.25% ±12.86 383 openings 72.5% 115.0% 157.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfway?window=24h) | 36 | 115.04% ±42.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfway?window=7d) | 310 | 98.06% ±14.3 | +1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfway) | 383 | 91.25% ±12.9 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halfway?window=all) | 383 | 91.25% ±12.9 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 383 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $743 1,061 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $642 917 coins | 1.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 1,000 | $533 762 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 222 | $465 664 coins | 3.9% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.58× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $424 606 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $246 352 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 125 | $225 321 coins | 3.4% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $202 288 coins | 9.5% | 10 | 9.6 | 1.04× | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $198 283 coins | 7.5% | 15 | 7.7 | 1.96× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $151 216 coins | 2.8% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.31× | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $142 203 coins | 21.4% | 26 | 30.6 | 0.85× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 56 | $134 192 coins | 4.6% | 6 | 6.9 | 0.87× | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $122 175 coins | 11.5% | 20 | 19.2 | 1.04× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $121 173 coins | 2.7% | 12 | 4.6 | 2.61× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $67.20 96 coins | 11.4% | 31 | 34.5 | 0.90× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $51.64 73.77 coins | 6.8% | 29 | 26.8 | 1.08× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $49.60 70.86 coins | 8.6% | 29 | 35.2 | 0.82× | | [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $18.97 27.1 coins | 0.5% | 3 | 5.7 | 0.52× | | [USP-S \| Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-field-tested) | 50.0% | $0.58 0.83 coins | 0.5% | 195 | 191.5 | 1.02× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) [sirwins.a.not](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/sirwins.a.not) $59.65 85.22 coins $642 917 coins 10.76x 2026-11-07 22:30 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=halfway) [USP-S | Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-field-tested) Hidden $58.40 83.43 coins $0.58 0.83 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:41 UTC [USP-S | Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-field-tested) Hidden $58.40 83.43 coins $0.58 0.83 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:41 UTC [USP-S | Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-field-tested) [Klass 2](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Klass%202) $58.40 83.43 coins $0.58 0.83 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:41 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $58.40 83.43 coins $142 203 coins 2.43x 2026-11-11 11:41 UTC [USP-S | Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-field-tested) Hidden $58.40 83.43 coins $0.58 0.83 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:39 UTC [USP-S | Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-field-tested) Hidden $58.40 83.43 coins $0.58 0.83 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:39 UTC [USP-S | Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-field-tested) [Klass 2](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Klass%202) $58.40 83.43 coins $0.58 0.83 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:39 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $58.40 83.43 coins $121 173 coins 2.07x 2026-11-11 11:39 UTC [USP-S | Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-field-tested) Hidden $58.40 83.43 coins $0.58 0.83 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 18:24 UTC [USP-S | Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-field-tested) Hidden $58.40 83.43 coins $0.58 0.83 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 18:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $58.40 | 90.91% | 19 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $58.39 | 90.91% | 19 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $58.74 | 90.91% | 19 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $59.65 | 90.91% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 35.3% classified 5.0% legendary 0.3% extraordinary 8.0% mil spec 51.5% best hit $642 (10.76x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt