--- title: "Halved case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Halved ($37.54) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 11 items with odds, observed 90.24% over 3,656 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halved rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Halved](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halved) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Halved A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halved?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halved?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halved) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halved?window=all) Price · $37.54 · 53.63 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $34.13 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.24% · 3,656 openings, odds method Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 57.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 42.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 86.85% ±6.25 692 openings 7 days · 90.16% ±2.72 3,588 openings 30 days · 90.24% ±2.70 3,656 openings since tracking started · 90.24% ±2.70 3,656 openings 80.0% 87.0% 94.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halved?window=24h) | 692 | 86.85% ±6.25 | −1.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halved?window=7d) | 3,588 | 90.16% ±2.72 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halved) | 3,656 | 90.24% ±2.70 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/halved?window=all) | 3,656 | 90.24% ±2.70 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,656 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $148 211 coins | 3.5% | 23 | 29.2 | 0.79× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 83 | $133 190 coins | 4.7% | 32 | 43.9 | 0.73× | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $115 164 coins | 6.7% | 81 | 73.1 | 1.11× | | [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $104 149 coins | 8.3% | 102 | 98.7 | 1.03× | | [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $81.20 116 coins | 11.9% | 177 | 182.8 | 0.97× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $50.11 71.59 coins | 3.4% | 95 | 84.1 | 1.13× | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $45.13 64.47 coins | 9.3% | 228 | 255.9 | 0.89× | | [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-battle-scarred) | 36.3% | $42.21 60.3 coins | 44.9% | 1,382 | 1327.1 | 1.04× | | [Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $17.93 25.62 coins | 4.2% | 254 | 292.5 | 0.87× | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $12.81 18.3 coins | 1.9% | 163 | 182.8 | 0.89× | | [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-battle-scarred) | 29.7% | $1.58 2.26 coins | 1.4% | 1,119 | 1085.8 | 1.03× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=halved) [Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-battle-scarred) Hidden $37.54 53.63 coins $42.21 60.3 coins 1.12x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-battle-scarred) Hidden $37.54 53.63 coins $1.58 2.26 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-battle-scarred) Hidden $37.54 53.63 coins $1.58 2.26 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-battle-scarred) Hidden $37.54 53.63 coins $42.21 60.3 coins 1.12x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-battle-scarred) Hidden $37.54 53.63 coins $42.21 60.3 coins 1.12x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC [Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-battle-scarred) [Emz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Emz) $37.54 53.63 coins $1.58 2.26 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC [Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-battle-scarred) [R1ckes](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/R1ckes) $37.54 53.63 coins $42.21 60.3 coins 1.12x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC [Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-battle-scarred) Hidden $37.54 53.63 coins $1.58 2.26 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC [Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-battle-scarred) [Alveliraren csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Alveliraren%20csgoroll.com) $37.54 53.63 coins $42.21 60.3 coins 1.12x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC [Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-battle-scarred) Hidden $37.54 53.63 coins $42.21 60.3 coins 1.12x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $37.54 | 90.91% | 11 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $37.97 | 90.90% | 11 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $37.91 | 90.92% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 14.0% classified 48.3% industrial 8.0% restricted 29.7% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt