--- title: "Harvester case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Harvester ($16.40) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 15 items with odds, observed 91.62% over 47.7K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/harvester rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Harvester](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/harvester) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Harvester A case on CSGORoll (10%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/harvester?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/harvester?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/harvester) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/harvester?window=all) Price · $16.40 · 23.43 coins Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $14.91 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.62% · 47.7K openings, odds method Variance · 9.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.51% ±8.97 4,348 openings 7 days · 91.63% ±3.01 38.7K openings 30 days · 91.62% ±2.71 47.7K openings since tracking started · 91.62% ±2.71 47.7K openings 79.0% 88.5% 98.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/harvester?window=24h) | 4,348 | 88.51% ±8.97 | −0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/harvester?window=7d) | 38.7K | 91.63% ±3.01 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/harvester) | 47.7K | 91.62% ±2.71 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/harvester?window=all) | 47.7K | 91.62% ±2.71 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 47.7K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $947 1,353 coins | 0.6% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.05× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $393 561 coins | 2.6% | 38 | 47.7 | 0.80× | | [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 1 in 222 | $329 470 coins | 9.9% | 234 | 214.6 | 1.09× | | [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $291 416 coins | 1.0% | 28 | 23.8 | 1.17× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-vaporwave-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $270 386 coins | 3.6% | 114 | 95.4 | 1.20× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-well-worn) | 1 in 167 | $235 336 coins | 9.5% | 290 | 286.2 | 1.01× | | [M4A1-S \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $153 219 coins | 1.5% | 71 | 71.5 | 0.99× | | [★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 118 | $153 218 coins | 8.7% | 383 | 405.4 | 0.94× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $141 202 coins | 9.5% | 460 | 476.9 | 0.96× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $141 202 coins | 36.9% | 1,873 | 1855.3 | 1.01× | | [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 83 | $100 143 coins | 8.1% | 530 | 572.3 | 0.93× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $77.70 111 coins | 7.8% | 761 | 715.4 | 1.06× | | [Dual Berettas \| Stained (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-field-tested) | 30.0% | $0.08 0.11 coins | 0.2% | 14,127 | 14307.9 | 0.99× | | [FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-field-tested) | 30.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.0% | 14,522 | 14307.9 | 1.01× | | [XM1014 \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-field-tested) | 30.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.0% | 14,257 | 14307.9 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-minimal-wear) [struncis](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/struncis) $16.48 23.54 coins $926 1,323 coins 56.20x 2026-11-06 18:26 UTC [AK-47 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.48 23.54 coins $926 1,323 coins 56.20x 2026-11-05 23:06 UTC [AK-47 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.48 23.54 coins $926 1,323 coins 56.20x 2026-11-05 20:50 UTC [AK-47 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-minimal-wear) [Mosbricka](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Mosbricka) $16.48 23.54 coins $926 1,323 coins 56.20x 2026-11-05 17:33 UTC [AK-47 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.48 23.54 coins $926 1,323 coins 56.20x 2026-11-04 22:51 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=harvester) [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-field-tested) Hidden $16.40 23.43 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-field-tested) [Legend](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Legend) $16.40 23.43 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Dual Berettas | Stained (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-field-tested) Hidden $16.40 23.43 coins $0.08 0.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Dual Berettas | Stained (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-field-tested) Hidden $16.40 23.43 coins $0.08 0.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-field-tested) Hidden $16.40 23.43 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Dual Berettas | Stained (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-field-tested) [Legend](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Legend) $16.40 23.43 coins $0.08 0.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Dual Berettas | Stained (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-field-tested) Hidden $16.40 23.43 coins $0.08 0.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-vaporwave-factory-new) Hidden $16.40 23.43 coins $270 386 coins 16.47x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Dual Berettas | Stained (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-field-tested) [Legend](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Legend) $16.40 23.43 coins $0.08 0.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-field-tested) Hidden $16.40 23.43 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $16.40 | 90.90% | 15 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $16.40 | 90.92% | 15 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $16.45 | 90.90% | 15 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $16.48 | 90.90% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.7% exotic 0.4% classified 3.9% legendary 0.2% extraordinary 0.6% epic 0.1% industrial 90.0% best hit $926 (56.20x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt