--- title: "Heart attack case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Heart attack ($1.32) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.78% from 19 items with odds, observed 91.22% over 21K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heart-attack rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Heart attack](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heart-attack) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Heart attack A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heart-attack?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heart-attack?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heart-attack) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heart-attack?window=all) Price · $1.32 · 1.88 coins Advertised RTP · 90.78% · EV $1.19 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.22% · 21K openings, odds method Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 50.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 89.83% ±5.41 1,697 openings 7 days · 90.82% ±1.70 17.5K openings 30 days · 91.22% ±1.55 21K openings since tracking started · 91.22% ±1.55 21K openings 84.0% 90.0% 96.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heart-attack?window=24h) | 1,697 | 89.83% ±5.41 | −0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heart-attack?window=7d) | 17.5K | 90.82% ±1.70 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heart-attack) | 21K | 91.22% ±1.55 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heart-attack?window=all) | 21K | 91.22% ±1.55 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 21.1K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| ScreaM \| Cologne 2016 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-scream-cologne-2016) | 1 in 400,000 | $89.60 128 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Seigaiha (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-seigaiha-well-worn) | 1 in 400,000 | $68.43 97.76 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $67.87 96.95 coins | 0.3% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.90× | | [UMP-45 \| Crime Scene (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crime-scene-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $65.27 93.25 coins | 0.3% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.90× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-roll-cage-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13,333 | $63.32 90.46 coins | 0.4% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.27× | | [Sticker \| North (Holo) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-north-holo-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 10,000 | $43.64 62.35 coins | 0.4% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.42× | | [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $33.31 47.59 coins | 0.3% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,692 | $26.97 38.53 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× | | [M4A4 \| Temukau (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $26.10 37.29 coins | 1.1% | 10 | 10.5 | 0.95× | | [P2000 \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $16.55 23.64 coins | 0.7% | 11 | 10.5 | 1.04× | | [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Pulse (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-pulse-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,124 | $12.50 17.85 coins | 0.9% | 20 | 18.7 | 1.07× | | [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $8.51 12.16 coins | 0.7% | 19 | 21.1 | 0.90× | | [SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $5.29 7.56 coins | 0.9% | 34 | 42.1 | 0.81× | | [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $4.33 6.18 coins | 1.1% | 58 | 63.2 | 0.92× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-rapid-eye-movement-battle-scarred) | 1 in 244 | $4.13 5.9 coins | 1.4% | 111 | 86.4 | 1.29× | | [StatTrak™ Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-zeus-x27-olympus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $4.07 5.82 coins | 1.7% | 83 | 105.3 | 0.79× | | [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $3.82 5.45 coins | 1.6% | 96 | 105.3 | 0.91× | | [Sticker \| Attacker (Foil) \| Berlin 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-attacker-foil-berlin-2019) | 47.8% | $1.68 2.4 coins | 67.2% | 10,167 | 10057.1 | 1.01× | | [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) | 50.0% | $0.50 0.71 coins | 20.8% | 10,443 | 10531.0 | 0.99× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crime-scene-minimal-wear) [Lamar](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lamar) $1.30 1.85 coins $69.83 99.76 coins 53.92x 2026-11-08 11:48 UTC [UMP-45 | Crime Scene (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crime-scene-minimal-wear) [User#869](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/User%23869) $1.30 1.85 coins $69.83 99.76 coins 53.92x 2026-11-03 07:38 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.30 1.85 coins $66.37 94.82 coins 51.25x 2026-11-04 01:00 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) [Snickers layer](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Snickers%20layer) $1.30 1.85 coins $66.37 94.82 coins 51.25x 2026-11-03 12:21 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=heart-attack) [Sticker | Attacker (Foil) | Berlin 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-attacker-foil-berlin-2019) Hidden $1.32 1.88 coins $1.68 2.4 coins 1.28x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [Sticker | Attacker (Foil) | Berlin 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-attacker-foil-berlin-2019) Hidden $1.32 1.88 coins $1.68 2.4 coins 1.28x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [Sticker | Attacker (Foil) | Berlin 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-attacker-foil-berlin-2019) Hidden $1.32 1.88 coins $1.68 2.4 coins 1.28x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) [Chantz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Chantz) $1.32 1.88 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [Sticker | Attacker (Foil) | Berlin 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-attacker-foil-berlin-2019) Hidden $1.32 1.88 coins $1.68 2.4 coins 1.28x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.32 1.88 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [Sticker | Attacker (Foil) | Berlin 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-attacker-foil-berlin-2019) Hidden $1.32 1.88 coins $1.68 2.4 coins 1.28x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) [Chantz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Chantz) $1.32 1.88 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.32 1.88 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.32 1.88 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 14:08 UTC | $1.32 | 90.78% | 19 | | 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $1.32 | 90.77% | 19 | | 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $1.32 | 90.78% | 19 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $1.31 | 91.00% | 19 | | 6 Nov, 10:50 UTC | $1.30 | 90.79% | 19 | | 3 Nov, 09:32 UTC | $1.30 | 90.79% | 19 | | 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | $1.30 | 90.91% | 19 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.30 | 90.90% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed high 0.0% rare 0.0% covert 0.0% restricted 50.1% remarkable 47.8% classified 1.3% Ancient 0.1% Mythical 0.3% uncommon 0.5% best hit $69.83 (53.92x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.78 on average: an expected loss of $9.22 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt