--- title: "Heaven and Hell case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Heaven and Hell ($260.50) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 10 items with odds, observed 93.31% over 161 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heaven-and-hell rendered: 2026-11-11T17:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Heaven and Hell](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heaven-and-hell) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Heaven and Hell A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heaven-and-hell?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heaven-and-hell?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heaven-and-hell) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heaven-and-hell?window=all) Price · $260.50 · 372 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $236.81 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.31% · 161 openings, odds method Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 19.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 32 openings · below min 7 days · 90.32% ±18.76 116 openings 30 days · 93.31% ±15.94 161 openings since tracking started · 93.31% ±15.94 161 openings 22.5% 66.3% 110.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heaven-and-hell?window=24h) | 32 | 58.52% ±35.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heaven-and-hell?window=7d) | 116 | 90.32% ±18.8 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heaven-and-hell) | 161 | 93.31% ±15.9 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heaven-and-hell?window=all) | 161 | 93.31% ±15.9 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 161 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $1,241 1,773 coins | 14.7% | 3 | 4.5 | 0.67× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,194 1,706 coins | 5.0% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.86× | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) | 15.4% | $576 823 coins | 37.5% | 28 | 24.8 | 1.13× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-factory-new) | 15.4% | $235 336 coins | 15.3% | 25 | 24.8 | 1.01× | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $210 300 coins | 8.9% | 17 | 16.1 | 1.06× | | [★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 15.4% | $172 246 coins | 11.2% | 20 | 24.8 | 0.81× | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $107 153 coins | 4.5% | 15 | 16.1 | 0.93× | | [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) | 10.0% | $65.32 93.31 coins | 2.8% | 15 | 16.1 | 0.93× | | [Negev \| Nuclear Waste (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-factory-new) | 10.0% | $3.17 4.53 coins | 0.1% | 22 | 16.1 | 1.37× | | [MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipe-down-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $1.03 1.47 coins | 0.0% | 13 | 16.1 | 0.81× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) [M3Toasty](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/M3Toasty) $266 380 coins $1,269 1,813 coins 4.77x 2026-11-06 20:55 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $266 380 coins $1,269 1,813 coins 4.77x 2026-11-04 20:12 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $266 380 coins $1,269 1,813 coins 4.77x 2026-11-04 14:23 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) [kiw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/kiw) $266 380 coins $1,269 1,813 coins 4.77x 2026-11-04 07:37 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [DYLAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/DYLAN) $266 380 coins $1,257 1,795 coins 4.72x 2026-11-05 11:49 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $266 380 coins $1,257 1,795 coins 4.72x 2026-11-04 20:12 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $260 372 coins $1,194 1,706 coins 4.58x 2026-11-09 21:34 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) [I lost my MBA tuition fee](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/I%20lost%20my%20MBA%20tuition%20fee) $266 380 coins $590 843 coins 2.22x 2026-11-07 15:51 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $266 380 coins $590 843 coins 2.22x 2026-11-07 11:15 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) [meÇa](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/me%C3%87a) $266 380 coins $590 843 coins 2.22x 2026-11-06 23:53 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=heaven-and-hell) [MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipe-down-minimal-wear) [BeastafiedBeast](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BeastafiedBeast) $260 372 coins $1.03 1.47 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:15 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $260 372 coins $576 823 coins 2.21x 2026-11-11 17:15 UTC [M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) Hidden $260 372 coins $107 153 coins 0.41x 2026-11-11 17:15 UTC [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $260 372 coins $65.32 93.31 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 17:15 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $260 372 coins $210 300 coins 0.81x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) Hidden $260 372 coins $107 153 coins 0.41x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $260 372 coins $65.32 93.31 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) [BeastafiedBeast](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BeastafiedBeast) $260 372 coins $65.32 93.31 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [Negev | Nuclear Waste (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-factory-new) Hidden $260 372 coins $3.17 4.53 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC [M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) Hidden $260 372 coins $107 153 coins 0.41x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $260 | 90.91% | 10 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $261 | 90.91% | 10 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $266 | 90.91% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 2.8% covert 77.2% industrial 10.0% restricted 10.0% best hit $1,269 (4.77x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt