---
title: "Hemoglobin case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Hemoglobin ($23.78) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 23 items with odds, observed 88.04% over 1,937 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hemoglobin
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Hemoglobin](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hemoglobin)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Hemoglobin

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hemoglobin?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hemoglobin?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hemoglobin) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hemoglobin?window=all)

Price · $23.78 · 33.97 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $21.62 from 23 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.04% · 1,937 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 87.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 77.15% ±33.42 200 openings

7 days · 86.60% ±11.51 1,704 openings

30 days · 88.04% ±10.80 1,937 openings

since tracking started · 88.04% ±10.80 1,937 openings

43.0% 77.0% 111.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hemoglobin?window=24h) | 200 | 77.15% ±33.4 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hemoglobin?window=7d) | 1,704 | 86.60% ±11.5 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hemoglobin) | 1,937 | 88.04% ±10.8 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hemoglobin?window=all) | 1,937 | 88.04% ±10.8 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,937 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AUG \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $334 477 coins | 7.7% | 11 | 9.7 | 1.14× |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $286 409 coins | 23.8% | 29 | 34.9 | 0.83× |
| [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 200 | $204 291 coins | 4.7% | 13 | 9.7 | 1.34× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $200 286 coins | 4.6% | 11 | 9.7 | 1.14× |
| [MP9 \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $192 274 coins | 4.4% | 11 | 9.7 | 1.14× |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $172 246 coins | 15.9% | 30 | 38.7 | 0.77× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $160 229 coins | 3.7% | 7 | 9.7 | 0.72× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) | 1 in 87 | $91.70 131 coins | 4.9% | 21 | 22.3 | 0.94× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 111 | $85.40 122 coins | 3.6% | 15 | 17.4 | 0.86× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $83.30 119 coins | 3.9% | 24 | 19.4 | 1.24× |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $77.70 111 coins | 4.7% | 23 | 25.2 | 0.91× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 125 | $74.90 107 coins | 2.8% | 16 | 15.5 | 1.03× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $41.94 59.92 coins | 2.9% | 48 | 29.1 | 1.65× |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $19.25 27.5 coins | 2.2% | 53 | 48.4 | 1.09× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $13.02 18.6 coins | 1.8% | 52 | 58.1 | 0.89× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $10.98 15.69 coins | 3.0% | 120 | 116.2 | 1.03× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $9.55 13.64 coins | 2.2% | 81 | 96.9 | 0.84× |
| [Tec-9 \| Isaac (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $4.26 6.09 coins | 0.8% | 74 | 77.5 | 0.96× |
| [Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $1.22 1.74 coins | 0.5% | 138 | 155.0 | 0.89× |
| [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $1.11 1.58 coins | 0.3% | 115 | 125.9 | 0.91× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-field-tested) | 18.0% | $0.96 1.37 coins | 0.8% | 375 | 348.7 | 1.08× |
| [Galil AR \| Signal (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-well-worn) | 15.0% | $0.50 0.71 coins | 0.3% | 324 | 290.6 | 1.12× |
| [USP-S \| Check Engine (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-well-worn) | 19.1% | $0.41 0.59 coins | 0.4% | 346 | 369.0 | 0.94× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=hemoglobin)

[CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-field-tested) Hidden $23.78 33.97 coins $0.96 1.37 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 10:08 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-well-worn) Hidden $23.78 33.97 coins $10.98 15.69 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 10:08 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-well-worn) Hidden $23.78 33.97 coins $10.98 15.69 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 10:08 UTC

[P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) Hidden $23.78 33.97 coins $41.94 59.92 coins 1.76x 2026-11-11 10:08 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) [Cousin of po](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Cousin%20of%20po) $23.78 33.97 coins $91.70 131 coins 3.86x 2026-11-11 10:08 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) Hidden $23.78 33.97 coins $91.70 131 coins 3.86x 2026-11-11 10:08 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-field-tested) Hidden $23.78 33.97 coins $0.96 1.37 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 05:06 UTC

[Galil AR | Signal (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-well-worn) Hidden $23.78 33.97 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 05:06 UTC

[USP-S | Check Engine (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-well-worn) Hidden $23.78 33.97 coins $0.41 0.59 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 05:06 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-field-tested) [UnfairScroll27](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/UnfairScroll27) $23.78 33.97 coins $0.96 1.37 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 05:06 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $23.78 | 90.90% | 23 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $23.78 | 90.90% | 23 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $23.76 | 90.91% | 23 |
| 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $23.79 | 90.90% | 23 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $23.79 | 90.91% | 23 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed mil spec 36.6% covert 7.8% high 0.5% classified 11.2% restricted 44.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
