---
title: "Hieroglyphic case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Hieroglyphic ($11,990.34) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 20 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hieroglyphic
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:20Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Hieroglyphic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hieroglyphic)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Hieroglyphic

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hieroglyphic?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hieroglyphic?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hieroglyphic) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hieroglyphic?window=all)

Price · $11,990.34 · 17,129 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $10,900.31 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 6.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hieroglyphic?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hieroglyphic?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hieroglyphic) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hieroglyphic?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Factory New) #387 (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new-387-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $700K 1,000,000 coins | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) 4x Titan (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new-4x-titan-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $158K 225,000 coins | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) + 4x IBP (Holo) (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new-4x-ibp-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $140K 200,000 coins | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) 4x IBP Holo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new-4x-ibp-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $105K 150,000 coins | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) 4x Reason (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new-4x-reason-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 118 | $98K 140,000 coins | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) 4x IBP (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new-4x-ibp-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $70K 100,000 coins | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 80 | $63.7K 90,950 coins | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 67 | $38K 54,245 coins | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) 4x Titan (Holo) (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear-4x-titan-holo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $28K 40,000 coins | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) 4x IBP (Holo) (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear-4x-ibp-holo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $26.3K 37,500 coins | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Factory New) 4x Titan (Holo) (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new-4x-titan-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $24.5K 35,000 coins | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $11.9K 17,000 coins | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $11.6K 16,550 coins | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $11.5K 16,375 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Clan-Mystik (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) | 11.0% | $4,288 6,125 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 25 | $3,941 5,630 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 15.0% | $2,454 3,505 coins | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $1,949 2,785 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) | 16.9% | $1,432 2,045 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) | 18.0% | $1,058 1,512 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=hieroglyphic)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $12K | 90.91% | 20 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $12K | 90.91% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 22.8% remarkable 1.5% covert 58.8% extraordinary 16.9%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
