--- title: "House of Cards case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "House of Cards ($523.07) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 12 items with odds, observed 43.17% over 123 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/house-of-cards rendered: 2026-11-12T16:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [House of Cards](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/house-of-cards) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · House of Cards A case on CSGORoll (1%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/house-of-cards?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/house-of-cards?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/house-of-cards) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/house-of-cards?window=all) Price · $523.07 · 747 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $475.52 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 43.17% · 123 openings, odds method Variance · 185.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 500 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 29 openings · below min 7 days · 123 openings · below min 30 days · 123 openings · below min since tracking started · 123 openings · below min -0.5% 248.3% 497.0% **Small sample.** 123 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/house-of-cards?window=24h) | 29 | 0.49% ±495.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/house-of-cards?window=7d) | 123 | 43.17% ±240.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/house-of-cards) | 123 | 43.17% ±240.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/house-of-cards?window=all) | 123 | 43.17% ±240.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 123 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) + 4x IBP (Holo) (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new-4x-ibp-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $140K 200,000 coins | 29.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) 4x IBP (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new-4x-ibp-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $140K 200,000 coins | 29.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) 4x Reason (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new-4x-reason-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $98K 140,000 coins | 20.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Factory New) 4x IBP (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new-4x-ibp-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $29.7K 42,500 coins | 6.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $27.5K 39,250 coins | 5.8% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $21.8K 31,155 coins | 4.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,787 9,695 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,669 6,670 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,311 4,730 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · legendary · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,100 1,572 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Slalom (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-slalom-field-tested) | 50.0% | $3.98 5.68 coins | 0.4% | 57 | 61.5 | 0.93× | | [Glock-18 \| Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-field-tested) | 49.0% | $1.28 1.83 coins | 0.1% | 65 | 60.3 | 1.08× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 12 Nov, 14:40 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $524 749 coins $27.5K 39,250 coins 52.43x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=house-of-cards) [Glock-18 | Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-field-tested) Hidden $523 747 coins $1.28 1.83 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:58 UTC [Glock-18 | Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-field-tested) Hidden $523 747 coins $1.28 1.83 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:58 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-slalom-field-tested) Hidden $523 747 coins $3.98 5.68 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 10:58 UTC [Glock-18 | Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-field-tested) Hidden $523 747 coins $1.28 1.83 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:58 UTC [Glock-18 | Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-field-tested) [karma](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/karma) $523 747 coins $1.28 1.83 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:58 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-slalom-field-tested) Hidden $523 747 coins $3.98 5.68 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 10:58 UTC [Glock-18 | Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-field-tested) Hidden $523 747 coins $1.28 1.83 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:03 UTC [Glock-18 | Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-field-tested) Hidden $523 747 coins $1.28 1.83 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:03 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-slalom-field-tested) Hidden $523 747 coins $3.98 5.68 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 23:03 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-slalom-field-tested) Hidden $523 747 coins $3.98 5.68 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 23:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $523 | 90.91% | 12 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $523 | 90.91% | 12 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $524 | 90.91% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.6% remarkable 0.1% covert 0.2% epic 0.1% uncommon 50.0% Industrial Grade 49.0% best hit $27.5K (52.43x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt