---
title: "Hush case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Hush ($121.02) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 23 items with odds, observed 73.37% over 127 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hush
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Hush](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hush)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Hush

A case on CSGORoll (50%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hush?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hush?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hush) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hush?window=all)

Price · $121.02 · 173 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $110.02 from 23 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 73.37% · 127 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 14 openings · below min

7 days · 71.69% ±49.71 119 openings

30 days · 73.37% ±48.11 127 openings

since tracking started · 73.37% ±48.11 127 openings

-0.5% 137.5% 275.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hush?window=24h) | 14 | 129.21% ±145.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hush?window=7d) | 119 | 71.69% ±49.7 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hush) | 127 | 73.37% ±48.1 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hush?window=all) | 127 | 73.37% ±48.1 | −0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 127 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) 4x Reason (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new-4x-reason-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 333,333 | $98K 140,000 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 250,000 | $53.5K 76,380 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 100,000 | $25K 35,730 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Factory New) 4x IBP (Holo) (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new-4x-ibp-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 16,667 | $22.8K 32,500 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $9,870 14,100 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-well-worn) | 1 in 11,111 | $7,297 10,425 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,500 | $6,269 8,955 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $4,946 7,065 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,815 5,450 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 2,222 | $1,890 2,700 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 4,000 | $1,544 2,206 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,250 | $1,357 1,939 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 556 | $1,096 1,566 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) | 1 in 71 | $420 600 coins | 5.4% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.68× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 250 | $394 563 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $370 529 coins | 12.7% | 0 | 4.8 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $277 395 coins | 21.4% | 8 | 10.8 | 0.74× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $175 250 coins | 8.0% | 8 | 6.4 | 1.26× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $140 200 coins | 8.9% | 6 | 8.9 | 0.67× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 11.0% | $126 180 coins | 12.6% | 14 | 14.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 12.5% | $109 155 coins | 12.3% | 24 | 15.9 | 1.51× |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) | 25.0% | $19.25 27.5 coins | 4.4% | 29 | 31.8 | 0.91× |
| [MP9 \| Setting Sun (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $18.35 26.22 coins | 4.2% | 35 | 31.8 | 1.10× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=hush)

[★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $121 173 coins $126 180 coins 1.04x 2026-11-11 02:41 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $121 173 coins $109 155 coins 0.90x 2026-11-11 02:41 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) Hidden $121 173 coins $277 395 coins 2.28x 2026-11-11 02:41 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $121 173 coins $109 155 coins 0.90x 2026-11-11 02:41 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $121 173 coins $109 155 coins 0.90x 2026-11-11 02:41 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) [560 HP](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/560%20HP) $121 173 coins $277 395 coins 2.28x 2026-11-11 02:41 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) Hidden $121 173 coins $420 600 coins 3.47x 2026-11-11 02:34 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $121 173 coins $175 250 coins 1.45x 2026-11-11 02:34 UTC

[MP9 | Setting Sun (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-minimal-wear) Hidden $121 173 coins $18.35 26.22 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 02:34 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [560 HP](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/560%20HP) $121 173 coins $126 180 coins 1.04x 2026-11-11 02:34 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $121 | 90.91% | 23 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $121 | 90.91% | 23 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $122 | 90.91% | 23 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.0% base 0.0% extraordinary 7.0% contraband 0.0% covert 39.2% restricted 3.8% classified 25.0% mil spec 25.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt