--- title: "Hypermania case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Hypermania ($5.82) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.93% from 11 items with odds, observed 90.70% over 16.3K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hypermania rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Hypermania](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hypermania) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Hypermania A case on CSGORoll (25%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hypermania?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hypermania?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hypermania) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hypermania?window=all) Price · $5.82 · 8.31 coins Advertised RTP · 90.93% · EV $5.29 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.70% · 16.3K openings, odds method Variance · 5.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.85% ±11.95 1,540 openings 7 days · 89.54% ±4.01 13.6K openings 30 days · 90.70% ±3.67 16.3K openings since tracking started · 90.70% ±3.67 16.3K openings 76.5% 89.0% 101.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hypermania?window=24h) | 1,540 | 88.85% ±11.9 | −0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hypermania?window=7d) | 13.6K | 89.54% ±4.01 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hypermania) | 16.3K | 90.70% ±3.67 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hypermania?window=all) | 16.3K | 90.70% ±3.67 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16.3K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $107 153 coins | 10.1% | 83 | 81.6 | 1.02× | | [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $52.51 75.02 coins | 34.7% | 574 | 571.4 | 1.00× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Nitro (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-nitro-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $49.23 70.33 coins | 11.2% | 197 | 195.9 | 1.01× | | [Sticker \| Doppler Poison Frog (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-doppler-poison-frog-foil) | 1 in 125 | $34.64 49.49 coins | 5.2% | 140 | 130.6 | 1.07× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $18.54 26.48 coins | 17.5% | 770 | 816.3 | 0.94× | | [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $15.62 22.31 coins | 5.9% | 317 | 326.5 | 0.97× | | [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $9.92 14.17 coins | 5.6% | 481 | 489.8 | 0.98× | | [P90 \| Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-fallout-warning-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $9.65 13.78 coins | 7.3% | 676 | 653.0 | 1.04× | | [MAC-10 \| Last Dive (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $2.40 3.43 coins | 2.3% | 847 | 816.3 | 1.04× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) | 37.5% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 6,161 | 6122.3 | 1.01× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 37.5% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 6,080 | 6122.3 | 0.99× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=hypermania) [P90 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-fallout-warning-field-tested) Hidden $5.82 8.31 coins $9.65 13.78 coins 1.66x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [P90 | Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-fallout-warning-field-tested) Hidden $5.82 8.31 coins $9.65 13.78 coins 1.66x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.82 8.31 coins $18.54 26.48 coins 3.19x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) [Terroristi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Terroristi) $5.82 8.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.82 8.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.82 8.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.82 8.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.82 8.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) [Reettaonläski](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Reettaonl%C3%A4ski) $5.82 8.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-factory-new) Hidden $5.82 8.31 coins $2.40 3.43 coins 0.41x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $5.82 | 90.93% | 11 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $5.73 | 90.92% | 11 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $5.71 | 90.96% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.0% mil spec 1.2% exotic 0.8% pink 5.0% classified 5.0% industrial 4.0% restricted 5.0% consumer 75.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.93 on average: an expected loss of $9.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt