---
title: "Hyperventilation case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Hyperventilation ($266.97) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 12 items with odds, observed 128.68% over 1,449 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hyperventilation
rendered: 2026-11-11T12:46Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Hyperventilation](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hyperventilation)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Hyperventilation

A case on CSGORoll (10%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hyperventilation?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hyperventilation?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hyperventilation) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hyperventilation?window=all)

Price · $266.97 · 381 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $242.70 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 128.68% · 1,449 openings, odds method

Variance · 55.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 51 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 88.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 56 openings · below min

7 days · 129.32% ±38.26 1,440 openings

30 days · 128.68% ±38.14 1,449 openings

since tracking started · 128.68% ±38.14 1,449 openings

90.0% 365.0% 640.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hyperventilation?window=24h) | 56 | 443.79% ±195.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hyperventilation?window=7d) | 1,440 | 129.32% ±38.3 | +2.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hyperventilation) | 1,449 | 128.68% ±38.1 | +1.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hyperventilation?window=all) | 1,449 | 128.68% ±38.1 | +1.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,449 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) 4x IBP Holo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new-4x-ibp-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $105K 150,000 coins | 4.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) Titan (Holo) + 3x IBP (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new-titan-holo-3x-ibp-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $56K 80,000 coins | 11.5% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Factory New) 4x IBP (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new-4x-ibp-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $29.7K 42,500 coins | 12.3% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.38× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $9,093 12,990 coins | 7.5% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.69× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $4,025 5,750 coins | 10.0% | 9 | 8.7 | 1.04× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $2,667 3,810 coins | 11.0% | 10 | 14.5 | 0.69× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 222 | $2,076 2,965 coins | 3.8% | 5 | 6.5 | 0.77× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 50 | $1,545 2,207 coins | 12.7% | 24 | 29.0 | 0.83× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 33 | $1,325 1,893 coins | 16.4% | 38 | 43.5 | 0.87× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 25 | $636 909 coins | 10.5% | 69 | 58.0 | 1.19× |
| [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) | 44.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 634 | 637.6 | 0.99× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) | 44.6% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 653 | 646.1 | 1.01× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) 4x IBP Holo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new-4x-ibp-holo-factory-new) Hidden $270 385 coins $105K 150,000 coins 389.5x 2026-11-06 00:01 UTC

[AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) Titan (Holo) + 3x IBP (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new-titan-holo-3x-ibp-holo-factory-new) Hidden $267 381 coins $56K 80,000 coins 209.8x 2026-11-10 19:44 UTC

[AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) Titan (Holo) + 3x IBP (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new-titan-holo-3x-ibp-holo-factory-new) Hidden $270 385 coins $56K 80,000 coins 207.7x 2026-11-07 17:30 UTC

[AK-47 | Black Laminate (Factory New) 4x IBP (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new-4x-ibp-holo-factory-new) [Der beste Uwe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Der%20beste%20Uwe) $270 385 coins $29.7K 42,500 coins 110.4x 2026-11-06 02:03 UTC

[AK-47 | Black Laminate (Factory New) 4x IBP (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new-4x-ibp-holo-factory-new) Hidden $270 385 coins $29.7K 42,500 coins 110.4x 2026-11-05 15:38 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) [🟢LIVE kick/sn0wieTV GIVEAWAY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%F0%9F%9F%A2LIVE%20kick%2Fsn0wieTV%20GIVEAWAY) $270 385 coins $9,121 13,030 coins 33.84x 2026-11-07 15:22 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $270 385 coins $9,121 13,030 coins 33.84x 2026-11-05 18:42 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-factory-new) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $267 381 coins $4,025 5,750 coins 15.08x 2026-11-11 11:26 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-factory-new) Hidden $267 381 coins $4,025 5,750 coins 15.08x 2026-11-08 21:45 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-factory-new) Hidden $270 385 coins $4,025 5,750 coins 14.93x 2026-11-07 18:11 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=hyperventilation)

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $267 381 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $267 381 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $267 381 coins $1,325 1,893 coins 4.96x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $267 381 coins $636 909 coins 2.38x 2026-11-11 12:19 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $267 381 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $267 381 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $267 381 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:06 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $267 381 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:58 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $267 381 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:26 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $267 381 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:26 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $267 | 90.91% | 12 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $270 | 90.91% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.6% extraordinary 0.8% covert 10.0% consumer 88.6% best hit $105K (389.5x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
