--- title: "Ichor case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Ichor ($185.14) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 11 items with odds, observed 97.73% over 72 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ichor rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Ichor](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ichor) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Ichor A case on CSGORoll (25%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ichor?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ichor?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ichor) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ichor?window=all) Price · $185.14 · 264 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $168.30 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.73% · 72 openings, odds method Variance · 4.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 56 openings · below min 30 days · 72 openings · below min since tracking started · 72 openings · below min 20.0% 82.3% 144.5% **Small sample.** 72 openings and 5.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ichor?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ichor?window=7d) | 56 | 72.82% ±52.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ichor) | 72 | 97.73% ±45.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ichor?window=all) | 72 | 97.73% ±45.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 72 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $4,025 5,750 coins | 12.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $1,551 2,216 coins | 9.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $1,115 1,593 coins | 9.9% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.93× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 40 | $855 1,221 coins | 12.7% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 40 | $562 803 coins | 8.3% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 25 | $393 561 coins | 9.3% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.04× | | [AUG \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $334 477 coins | 12.9% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× | | [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $109 156 coins | 16.2% | 20 | 18.0 | 1.11× | | [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 25.0% | $41.94 59.92 coins | 6.2% | 12 | 18.0 | 0.67× | | [Patch \| Abandon Hope patch · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-abandon-hope) | 25.0% | $17.02 24.32 coins | 2.5% | 20 | 18.0 | 1.11× | | [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $16.42 23.46 coins | 0.6% | 8 | 4.7 | 1.71× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-factory-new) Hidden $187 268 coins $4,025 5,750 coins 21.48x 2026-11-02 23:36 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $187 268 coins $973 1,390 coins 5.19x 2026-11-05 18:13 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $187 268 coins $874 1,248 coins 4.66x 2026-11-07 01:05 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $187 268 coins $874 1,248 coins 4.66x 2026-11-04 22:01 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) [Jake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jake) $187 268 coins $565 807 coins 3.01x 2026-11-04 22:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=ichor) [P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) Hidden $185 264 coins $41.94 59.92 coins 0.23x 2026-11-10 00:42 UTC [Patch | Abandon Hope patch · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-abandon-hope) Hidden $185 264 coins $17.02 24.32 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 00:42 UTC [SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-minimal-wear) Hidden $185 264 coins $109 156 coins 0.59x 2026-11-10 00:42 UTC [SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-minimal-wear) [Vuitton](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Vuitton) $185 264 coins $109 156 coins 0.59x 2026-11-10 00:42 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $185 264 coins $16.42 23.46 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 00:42 UTC [SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-minimal-wear) Hidden $185 264 coins $109 156 coins 0.59x 2026-11-10 00:42 UTC [Patch | Abandon Hope patch · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-abandon-hope) Hidden $185 264 coins $17.02 24.32 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 00:42 UTC [AUG | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-hot-rod-factory-new) [Vuitton](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Vuitton) $185 264 coins $334 477 coins 1.80x 2026-11-10 00:42 UTC [P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) Hidden $185 264 coins $41.94 59.92 coins 0.23x 2026-11-10 00:42 UTC [Patch | Abandon Hope patch · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-abandon-hope) Hidden $185 264 coins $17.02 24.32 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 00:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $185 | 90.91% | 11 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $185 | 90.91% | 11 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $187 | 90.91% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.5% covert 11.5% mil spec 13.0% classified 50.0% high 25.0% best hit $4,025 (21.48x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt