---
title: "Imperial case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Imperial ($15.59) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 14 items with odds, observed 96.96% over 2,665 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/imperial
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Imperial](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/imperial)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Imperial

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/imperial?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/imperial?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/imperial) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/imperial?window=all)

Price · $15.59 · 22.27 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $14.17 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 96.96% · 2,665 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 107.53% ±23.07 290 openings

7 days · 98.52% ±8.18 2,295 openings

30 days · 96.96% ±7.59 2,665 openings

since tracking started · 96.96% ±7.59 2,665 openings

84.0% 107.5% 131.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/imperial?window=24h) | 290 | 107.53% ±23.1 | +1.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/imperial?window=7d) | 2,295 | 98.52% ±8.18 | +1.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/imperial) | 2,665 | 96.96% ±7.59 | +1.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/imperial?window=all) | 2,665 | 96.96% ±7.59 | +1.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,665 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $803 1,147 coins | 2.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× |
| [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 1 in 1,667 | $329 470 coins | 1.4% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $202 288 coins | 10.0% | 19 | 18.7 | 1.02× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $106 151 coins | 6.7% | 30 | 24.0 | 1.25× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $86.10 123 coins | 9.1% | 41 | 40.0 | 1.03× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $64.32 91.88 coins | 21.3% | 136 | 125.3 | 1.09× |
| [Sticker \| Boombl4 (Gold) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boombl4-gold-katowice-2019) | 1 in 11 | $38.73 55.33 coins | 24.6% | 269 | 239.8 | 1.12× |
| [Souvenir FAMAS \| Styx (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-styx-well-worn) | 10.0% | $14.64 20.92 coins | 10.3% | 261 | 266.5 | 0.98× |
| [Patch \| G2 Esports (Gold) \| Stockholm 2021 patch · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-g2-esports-gold-stockholm-2021) | 10.3% | $5.52 7.88 coins | 4.0% | 277 | 274.5 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Imperial Esports (Gold) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-imperial-esports-gold-antwerp-2022) | 10.5% | $3.74 5.34 coins | 2.8% | 289 | 279.8 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-ruby-poison-dart-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $3.50 5 coins | 3.0% | 297 | 319.8 | 0.93× |
| [Sticker \| Ruby Stream (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-stream-lenticular) | 10.8% | $2.27 3.24 coins | 1.7% | 311 | 287.8 | 1.08× |
| [Desert Eagle \| The Bronze (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-bronze-field-tested) | 13.5% | $1.46 2.08 coins | 1.4% | 357 | 359.8 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Vitality (Gold) \| Paris 2023 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vitality-gold-paris-2023) | 16.0% | $1.29 1.84 coins | 1.5% | 375 | 426.4 | 0.88× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Autotronic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-autotronic-field-tested) Hidden $15.60 22.28 coins $803 1,147 coins 51.48x 2026-11-10 02:34 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=imperial)

[Sticker | Vitality (Gold) | Paris 2023 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vitality-gold-paris-2023) Hidden $15.59 22.27 coins $1.29 1.84 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC

[Sticker | Ruby Stream (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-stream-lenticular) Hidden $15.59 22.27 coins $2.27 3.24 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC

[Sticker | Ruby Stream (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-stream-lenticular) Hidden $15.59 22.27 coins $2.27 3.24 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC

[Patch | G2 Esports (Gold) | Stockholm 2021 patch · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-g2-esports-gold-stockholm-2021) Hidden $15.59 22.27 coins $5.52 7.88 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC

[Sticker | Boombl4 (Gold) | Katowice 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boombl4-gold-katowice-2019) Hidden $15.59 22.27 coins $38.73 55.33 coins 2.48x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC

[Sticker | Boombl4 (Gold) | Katowice 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boombl4-gold-katowice-2019) [Jake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jake) $15.59 22.27 coins $38.73 55.33 coins 2.48x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC

[Sticker | Vitality (Gold) | Paris 2023 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vitality-gold-paris-2023) Hidden $15.59 22.27 coins $1.29 1.84 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC

[Sticker | Ruby Stream (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-stream-lenticular) [Jake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jake) $15.59 22.27 coins $2.27 3.24 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC

[Sticker | Ruby Stream (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-stream-lenticular) Hidden $15.59 22.27 coins $2.27 3.24 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC

[Sticker | Ruby Stream (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-stream-lenticular) Hidden $15.59 22.27 coins $2.27 3.24 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:20 UTC | $15.59 | 90.92% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $15.60 | 90.89% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $15.71 | 90.90% | 14 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $15.82 | 90.89% | 14 |
| 4 Nov, 22:33 UTC | $15.81 | 90.93% | 14 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $15.81 | 90.92% | 14 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 6.2% exotic 0.1% classified 0.7% extraordinary 31.2% restricted 22.0% remarkable 10.3% industrial 13.5% Extraordinary 16.0% best hit $803 (51.48x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt