--- title: "Implosion case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Implosion ($147.76) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 13 items with odds, observed 101.28% over 606 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/implosion rendered: 2026-11-11T13:16Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Implosion](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/implosion) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Implosion A case on CSGORoll (20%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/implosion?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/implosion?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/implosion) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/implosion?window=all) Price · $147.76 · 211 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $134.33 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 101.28% · 606 openings, odds method Variance · 5.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 104.47% ±21.64 455 openings 30 days · 101.28% ±18.76 606 openings since tracking started · 101.28% ±18.76 606 openings 82.0% 199.7% 317.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/implosion?window=24h) | 16 | 201.73% ±115.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/implosion?window=7d) | 455 | 104.47% ±21.6 | +1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/implosion) | 606 | 101.28% ±18.8 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/implosion?window=all) | 606 | 101.28% ±18.8 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 606 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Clan-Mystik (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $4,288 6,125 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,281 6,115 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 500 | $2,667 3,810 coins | 4.0% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.65× | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) | 1 in 50 | $1,679 2,398 coins | 25.0% | 17 | 12.1 | 1.40× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,544 2,206 coins | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $937 1,339 coins | 7.0% | 5 | 6.1 | 0.83× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $733 1,047 coins | 17.4% | 19 | 19.3 | 0.98× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 50 | $679 970 coins | 10.1% | 14 | 12.1 | 1.16× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $643 918 coins | 14.4% | 15 | 18.2 | 0.83× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $409 584 coins | 1.5% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.65× | | [★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $305 436 coins | 18.2% | 51 | 48.5 | 1.05× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 40.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 225 | 242.4 | 0.93× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 40.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 252 | 242.4 | 1.04× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $148 211 coins $2,667 3,810 coins 18.05x 2026-11-09 21:32 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $148 211 coins $2,667 3,810 coins 18.05x 2026-11-09 21:32 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) Hidden $150 214 coins $1,712 2,445 coins 11.45x 2026-11-07 23:41 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) Hidden $150 214 coins $1,712 2,445 coins 11.45x 2026-11-06 21:57 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) Hidden $150 214 coins $1,712 2,445 coins 11.45x 2026-11-06 21:56 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) Hidden $150 214 coins $1,712 2,445 coins 11.45x 2026-11-06 21:54 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) Hidden $150 214 coins $1,712 2,445 coins 11.45x 2026-11-06 15:53 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) Hidden $150 214 coins $1,712 2,445 coins 11.45x 2026-11-04 19:10 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) Hidden $150 214 coins $1,712 2,445 coins 11.45x 2026-11-04 19:07 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) Hidden $150 214 coins $1,712 2,445 coins 11.45x 2026-11-04 18:55 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=implosion) [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $148 211 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:31 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $148 211 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:31 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $148 211 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:31 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $148 211 coins $733 1,047 coins 4.96x 2026-11-11 12:31 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $148 211 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 18:20 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $148 211 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 18:20 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $148 211 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 18:20 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [locked in robben](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/locked%20in%20robben) $148 211 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 18:20 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $148 211 coins $679 970 coins 4.60x 2026-11-10 18:20 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) Hidden $148 211 coins $1,679 2,398 coins 11.36x 2026-11-10 18:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $148 | 90.91% | 13 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $150 | 90.91% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.5% covert 19.4% consumer 80.0% best hit $2,667 (18.05x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt