---
title: "Industrial case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Industrial ($48.80) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 19 items with odds, observed 107.42% over 145 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/industrial
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Industrial](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/industrial)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Industrial

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/industrial?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/industrial?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/industrial) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/industrial?window=all)

Price · $48.80 · 69.71 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $44.36 from 19 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 107.42% · 145 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 48 openings · below min

7 days · 110.13% ±21.63 139 openings

30 days · 107.42% ±21.17 145 openings

since tracking started · 107.42% ±21.17 145 openings

48.5% 90.5% 132.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/industrial?window=24h) | 48 | 86.17% ±36.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/industrial?window=7d) | 139 | 110.13% ±21.6 | +1.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/industrial) | 145 | 107.42% ±21.2 | +1.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/industrial?window=all) | 145 | 107.42% ±21.2 | +1.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 145 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,407 2,010 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,229 1,755 coins | 1.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $396 565 coins | 3.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $291 416 coins | 3.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $283 404 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $262 374 coins | 8.9% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $174 249 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $159 227 coins | 10.7% | 7 | 4.3 | 1.61× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lt. Commander (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lt-commander-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $143 204 coins | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $102 145 coins | 11.4% | 9 | 7.3 | 1.24× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Copper (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-copper-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $95.90 137 coins | 10.8% | 12 | 7.3 | 1.66× |
| [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $79.10 113 coins | 8.9% | 7 | 7.3 | 0.97× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $46.28 66.11 coins | 6.3% | 9 | 8.7 | 1.03× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 12.0% | $40.87 58.38 coins | 11.1% | 18 | 17.4 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Stainless (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $35.29 50.41 coins | 5.6% | 10 | 10.2 | 0.99× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $24.22 34.6 coins | 4.9% | 9 | 13.0 | 0.69× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 14.0% | $12.24 17.48 coins | 3.9% | 20 | 20.3 | 0.99× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $7.54 10.77 coins | 2.5% | 23 | 21.8 | 1.06× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-minimal-wear) | 15.2% | $3.70 5.29 coins | 1.3% | 18 | 22.1 | 0.81× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) Hidden $49.08 70.11 coins $1,215 1,735 coins 24.75x 2026-11-07 17:43 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=industrial)

[M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.80 69.71 coins $79.10 113 coins 1.62x 2026-11-11 10:19 UTC

[M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) Hidden $48.80 69.71 coins $46.28 66.11 coins 0.95x 2026-11-11 10:19 UTC

[M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) Hidden $48.80 69.71 coins $24.22 34.6 coins 0.50x 2026-11-11 10:19 UTC

[M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) Hidden $48.80 69.71 coins $46.28 66.11 coins 0.95x 2026-11-11 10:19 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.80 69.71 coins $7.54 10.77 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 10:19 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Copper (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-copper-factory-new) [aBbe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/aBbe) $48.80 69.71 coins $95.90 137 coins 1.97x 2026-11-11 10:19 UTC

[M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.80 69.71 coins $79.10 113 coins 1.62x 2026-11-11 10:03 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.80 69.71 coins $7.54 10.77 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 10:03 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) Hidden $48.80 69.71 coins $40.87 58.38 coins 0.84x 2026-11-11 10:03 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.80 69.71 coins $35.29 50.41 coins 0.72x 2026-11-11 10:03 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $48.80 | 90.91% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $48.99 | 90.91% | 19 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $49.08 | 90.91% | 19 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.2% covert 28.0% restricted 1.5% mil spec 17.0% classified 53.2% best hit $1,215 (24.75x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt