--- title: "Inferno case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Inferno ($1.33) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.83% from 12 items with odds, observed 89.94% over 47.9K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inferno rendered: 2026-11-11T13:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Inferno](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inferno) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Inferno A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inferno?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inferno?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inferno) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inferno?window=all) Price · $1.33 · 1.9 coins Advertised RTP · 90.83% · EV $1.21 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.94% · 47.9K openings, odds method Variance · 33.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 95 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 96.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 92.07% ±15.19 5,634 openings 7 days · 91.04% ±5.63 40.5K openings 30 days · 89.94% ±5.18 47.9K openings since tracking started · 89.94% ±5.18 47.9K openings 76.0% 92.0% 108.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inferno?window=24h) | 5,634 | 92.07% ±15.2 | +0.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inferno?window=7d) | 40.5K | 91.04% ±5.63 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inferno) | 47.9K | 89.94% ±5.18 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inferno?window=all) | 47.9K | 89.94% ±5.18 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 47.9K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $126 180 coins | 10.4% | 50 | 47.9 | 1.04× | | [Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $83.30 119 coins | 10.3% | 66 | 71.9 | 0.92× | | [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $77.00 110 coins | 19.1% | 144 | 143.8 | 1.00× | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $57.77 82.53 coins | 23.9% | 236 | 239.7 | 0.98× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Nitro (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-nitro-battle-scarred) | 1 in 125 | $5.74 8.2 coins | 3.8% | 412 | 383.4 | 1.07× | | [Tec-9 \| Isaac (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $3.28 4.69 coins | 4.1% | 664 | 719.0 | 0.92× | | [P250 \| Nevermore (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $0.76 1.08 coins | 5.0% | 3,828 | 3834.5 | 1.00× | | [USP-S \| Check Engine (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-field-tested) | 14.0% | $0.41 0.59 coins | 4.8% | 6,778 | 6710.3 | 1.01× | | [R8 Revolver \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) | 18.0% | $0.34 0.48 coins | 5.0% | 8,622 | 8627.6 | 1.00× | | [P2000 \| Imperial (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-field-tested) | 12.0% | $0.32 0.46 coins | 3.2% | 5,839 | 5751.7 | 1.02× | | [MAC-10 \| Carnivore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.29 0.41 coins | 4.8% | 9,582 | 9586.2 | 1.00× | | [MP7 \| Urban Hazard (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-urban-hazard-well-worn) | 24.6% | $0.27 0.39 coins | 5.6% | 11,710 | 11815.0 | 0.99× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) Hidden $1.32 1.89 coins $130 186 coins 98.41x 2026-11-08 16:09 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) Hidden $1.32 1.89 coins $130 186 coins 98.41x 2026-11-08 08:26 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) Hidden $1.32 1.89 coins $130 186 coins 98.41x 2026-11-08 02:03 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) Hidden $1.32 1.89 coins $130 186 coins 98.41x 2026-11-07 21:49 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) [The Real 2Pac](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/The%20Real%202Pac) $1.32 1.89 coins $130 186 coins 98.41x 2026-11-07 21:36 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) [Blurr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Blurr) $1.32 1.89 coins $130 186 coins 98.41x 2026-11-07 08:27 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) Hidden $1.32 1.89 coins $130 186 coins 98.41x 2026-11-07 06:29 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) Hidden $1.32 1.89 coins $130 186 coins 98.41x 2026-11-06 22:06 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) [Foxy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Foxy) $1.32 1.89 coins $130 186 coins 98.41x 2026-11-06 17:00 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) Hidden $1.32 1.89 coins $130 186 coins 98.41x 2026-11-06 16:30 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=inferno) [MAC-10 | Carnivore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.33 1.9 coins $0.29 0.41 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [MP7 | Urban Hazard (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-urban-hazard-well-worn) Hidden $1.33 1.9 coins $0.27 0.39 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [MAC-10 | Carnivore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.33 1.9 coins $0.29 0.41 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [P2000 | Imperial (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-field-tested) Hidden $1.33 1.9 coins $0.32 0.46 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-field-tested) [si^b^rO](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/si%5Eb%5ErO) $1.33 1.9 coins $0.41 0.59 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [MAC-10 | Carnivore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.33 1.9 coins $0.29 0.41 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [P2000 | Imperial (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-field-tested) Hidden $1.33 1.9 coins $0.32 0.46 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $1.33 1.9 coins $0.34 0.48 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [MAC-10 | Carnivore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.33 1.9 coins $0.29 0.41 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $1.33 1.9 coins $0.34 0.48 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $1.33 | 90.83% | 12 | | 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $1.34 | 90.87% | 12 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $1.34 | 90.73% | 12 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $1.32 | 90.88% | 12 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.32 | 90.72% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.6% mil spec 91.1% restricted 8.3% best hit $130 (98.41x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.83 on average: an expected loss of $9.17 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt