---
title: "Inflammable case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Inflammable ($184.31) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 19 items with odds, observed 75.00% over 154 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inflammable
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Inflammable](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inflammable)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Inflammable

A case on CSGORoll (10%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inflammable?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inflammable?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inflammable) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inflammable?window=all)

Price · $184.31 · 263 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $167.55 from 19 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 75.00% · 154 openings, odds method

Variance · 6.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 36 openings · below min

7 days · 78.61% ±45.12 118 openings

30 days · 75.00% ±39.44 154 openings

since tracking started · 75.00% ±39.44 154 openings

33.0% 115.8% 198.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inflammable?window=24h) | 36 | 115.86% ±81.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inflammable?window=7d) | 118 | 78.61% ±45.1 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inflammable) | 154 | 75.00% ±39.4 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inflammable?window=all) | 154 | 75.00% ±39.4 | −0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 154 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,888 9,840 coins | 4.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $4,365 6,235 coins | 10.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Sticker \| Reason Gaming \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $3,164 4,520 coins | 9.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 500 | $2,667 3,810 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 333 | $1,545 2,207 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,114 1,591 coins | 6.6% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.30× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,008 1,440 coins | 3.0% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $776 1,108 coins | 2.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $760 1,086 coins | 2.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $748 1,068 coins | 4.5% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $676 966 coins | 2.0% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $652 932 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $627 896 coins | 1.9% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $564 806 coins | 3.4% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.65× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $267 382 coins | 1.6% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.30× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $260 372 coins | 1.6% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.30× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-well-worn) | 30.0% | $82.60 118 coins | 14.8% | 43 | 46.2 | 0.93× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-field-tested) | 30.0% | $77.00 110 coins | 13.8% | 47 | 46.2 | 1.02× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 30.0% | $47.48 67.83 coins | 8.5% | 50 | 46.2 | 1.08× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-katowice-2014) Hidden $184 263 coins $3,164 4,520 coins 17.17x 2026-11-10 22:01 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $184 263 coins $1,114 1,591 coins 6.04x 2026-11-10 22:11 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $184 263 coins $1,114 1,591 coins 6.04x 2026-11-10 00:42 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $184 263 coins $1,008 1,440 coins 5.47x 2026-11-10 22:11 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $187 268 coins $1,008 1,440 coins 5.38x 2026-11-03 22:52 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $187 268 coins $855 1,222 coins 4.56x 2026-11-04 19:11 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $184 264 coins $760 1,086 coins 4.12x 2026-11-08 17:24 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-minimal-wear) Hidden $184 264 coins $676 966 coins 3.67x 2026-11-08 17:25 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) [🟢Kick: JULSY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%F0%9F%9F%A2Kick%3A%20JULSY) $187 268 coins $611 873 coins 3.26x 2026-11-05 18:16 UTC

[★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-well-worn) Hidden $187 268 coins $578 826 coins 3.09x 2026-11-02 23:36 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=inflammable)

[★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-well-worn) Hidden $184 263 coins $82.60 118 coins 0.45x 2026-11-10 22:11 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-well-worn) Hidden $184 263 coins $82.60 118 coins 0.45x 2026-11-10 22:11 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-field-tested) Hidden $184 263 coins $77.00 110 coins 0.42x 2026-11-10 22:11 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-well-worn) Hidden $184 263 coins $82.60 118 coins 0.45x 2026-11-10 22:11 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-well-worn) Hidden $184 263 coins $82.60 118 coins 0.45x 2026-11-10 22:11 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-field-tested) [I AM THE PIRATE KING](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/I%20AM%20THE%20PIRATE%20KING) $184 263 coins $47.48 67.83 coins 0.26x 2026-11-10 22:11 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-field-tested) Hidden $184 263 coins $77.00 110 coins 0.42x 2026-11-10 22:11 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $184 263 coins $1,008 1,440 coins 5.47x 2026-11-10 22:11 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-field-tested) Hidden $184 263 coins $47.48 67.83 coins 0.26x 2026-11-10 22:11 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $184 263 coins $1,114 1,591 coins 6.04x 2026-11-10 22:11 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $184 | 90.91% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $184 | 90.91% | 19 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $187 | 90.91% | 19 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 36.6% contraband 0.4% high 0.5% classified 1.0% legendary 1.0% extraordinary 60.5% best hit $3,164 (17.17x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt