---
title: "Internal Server Error case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Internal Server Error ($529.47) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 19 items with odds, observed 57.25% over 48 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/internal-server-error
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:25Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Internal Server Error](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/internal-server-error)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Internal Server Error

A case on CSGORoll (20%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/internal-server-error?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/internal-server-error?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/internal-server-error) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/internal-server-error?window=all)

Price · $529.47 · 756 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $481.34 from 19 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 57.25% · 48 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 29 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 9 openings · below min

7 days · 36 openings · below min

30 days · 48 openings · below min

since tracking started · 48 openings · below min

-0.5% 96.3% 193.0%

**Small sample.** 48 openings and 1.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/internal-server-error?window=24h) | 9 | 11.05% ±181.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/internal-server-error?window=7d) | 36 | 34.47% ±90.7 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/internal-server-error) | 48 | 57.25% ±78.6 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/internal-server-error?window=all) | 48 | 57.25% ±78.6 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 48 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $10.3K 14,660 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $9,342 13,345 coins | 9.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $8,057 11,510 coins | 16.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $7,000 10,000 coins | 7.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $6,269 8,955 coins | 13.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 333 | $6,003 8,575 coins | 3.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sticker \| Clan-Mystik (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $4,288 6,125 coins | 4.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $2,895 4,135 coins | 12.0% | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $2,842 4,060 coins | 8.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $1,299 1,856 coins | 6.2% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.91× |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $1,295 1,850 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $1,081 1,544 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 40 | $523 747 coins | 2.7% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $225 321 coins | 1.6% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife) | 1 in 33 | $198 283 coins | 1.2% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.39× |
| [MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-factory-new) | 20.0% | $53.82 76.89 coins | 2.2% | 9 | 9.6 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-turbo-peek-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $47.31 67.59 coins | 2.0% | 9 | 9.6 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Justice (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-factory-new) | 20.0% | $40.83 58.33 coins | 1.7% | 10 | 9.6 | 1.04× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $26.17 37.38 coins | 1.1% | 11 | 9.6 | 1.15× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $533 762 coins $4,288 6,125 coins 8.04x 2026-11-04 03:12 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-factory-new) Hidden $529 756 coins $2,895 4,135 coins 5.47x 2026-11-09 04:42 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-factory-new) Hidden $533 762 coins $2,832 4,045 coins 5.31x 2026-11-04 03:12 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $533 762 coins $1,310 1,871 coins 2.46x 2026-11-07 14:53 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $533 762 coins $524 749 coins 0.98x 2026-11-05 19:31 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) [Hakki](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Hakki) $533 762 coins $524 749 coins 0.98x 2026-11-04 03:12 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=internal-server-error)

[StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-factory-new) [tiltedfish](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tiltedfish) $529 756 coins $40.83 58.33 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 09:55 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-turbo-peek-minimal-wear) Hidden $529 756 coins $47.31 67.59 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 09:55 UTC

[M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-minimal-wear) Hidden $529 756 coins $26.17 37.38 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:55 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-turbo-peek-minimal-wear) Hidden $529 756 coins $47.31 67.59 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 09:55 UTC

[M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-minimal-wear) Hidden $529 756 coins $26.17 37.38 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:55 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-factory-new) Hidden $529 756 coins $40.83 58.33 coins 0.08x 2026-11-10 16:38 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) Hidden $529 756 coins $225 321 coins 0.42x 2026-11-10 16:38 UTC

[M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-minimal-wear) Hidden $529 756 coins $26.17 37.38 coins 0.05x 2026-11-10 16:38 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-turbo-peek-minimal-wear) [Wielando](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Wielando) $529 756 coins $47.31 67.59 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 16:38 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-factory-new) Hidden $529 756 coins $40.83 58.33 coins 0.08x 2026-11-09 21:55 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $529 | 90.91% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $530 | 90.91% | 19 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $533 | 90.91% | 19 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed remarkable 0.1% covert 10.9% contraband 0.5% extraordinary 4.5% legendary 4.0% classified 80.0% best hit $4,288 (8.04x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
