--- title: "Invincible case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Invincible ($110.21) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 21 items with odds, observed 104.78% over 125 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/invincible rendered: 2026-11-11T19:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Invincible](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/invincible) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Invincible A case on CSGORoll (40%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/invincible?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/invincible?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/invincible) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/invincible?window=all) Price · $110.21 · 157 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $100.20 from 21 items Observed RTP, 30d · 104.78% · 125 openings, odds method Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 64.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 107.06% ±24.54 117 openings 30 days · 104.78% ±23.74 125 openings since tracking started · 104.78% ±23.74 125 openings -0.5% 85.3% 171.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/invincible?window=24h) | 6 | 60.30% ±109.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/invincible?window=7d) | 117 | 107.06% ±24.5 | +1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/invincible) | 125 | 104.78% ±23.7 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/invincible?window=all) | 125 | 104.78% ±23.7 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 125 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 286 | $1,255 1,793 coins | 4.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 222 | $856 1,223 coins | 3.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $659 942 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $646 923 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-well-worn) | 1 in 83 | $540 772 coins | 6.5% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.00× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $455 650 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-master-piece-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $451 645 coins | 4.5% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| JW (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jw-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 222 | $448 640 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $407 581 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $394 563 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Chalice (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-chalice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $348 497 coins | 13.2% | 8 | 4.8 | 1.68× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $323 461 coins | 6.4% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.60× | | [★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $305 436 coins | 4.6% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.60× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $227 325 coins | 8.5% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $207 296 coins | 10.3% | 6 | 6.3 | 0.96× | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $156 223 coins | 9.3% | 5 | 7.5 | 0.67× | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $118 168 coins | 11.0% | 13 | 11.8 | 1.11× | | [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $87.50 125 coins | 3.9% | 3 | 5.6 | 0.53× | | [P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) | 20.0% | $19.25 27.5 coins | 3.8% | 29 | 25.0 | 1.16× | | [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $16.24 23.2 coins | 3.2% | 24 | 25.0 | 0.96× | | [Galil AR \| Tornado (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tornado-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $3.21 4.58 coins | 0.6% | 22 | 25.0 | 0.88× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-minimal-wear) [L3MON™ csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/L3MON%E2%84%A2%20csgoroll.com) $113 161 coins $1,045 1,493 coins 9.25x 2026-11-06 11:40 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $113 161 coins $875 1,250 coins 7.75x 2026-11-06 11:52 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-well-worn) Hidden $113 161 coins $536 765 coins 4.74x 2026-11-06 14:19 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-well-worn) [L3MON™ csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/L3MON%E2%84%A2%20csgoroll.com) $113 161 coins $536 765 coins 4.74x 2026-11-06 11:50 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-well-worn) Hidden $113 161 coins $536 765 coins 4.74x 2026-11-06 11:37 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=invincible) [P250 | Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) Hidden $110 157 coins $19.25 27.5 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 02:45 UTC [P250 | Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) Hidden $110 157 coins $19.25 27.5 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 02:45 UTC [Glock-18 | Reactor (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-minimal-wear) Hidden $110 157 coins $16.24 23.2 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 02:45 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $110 157 coins $207 296 coins 1.88x 2026-11-11 02:45 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) Hidden $110 157 coins $118 168 coins 1.07x 2026-11-11 02:45 UTC [P250 | Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) [Quack69x](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Quack69x) $110 157 coins $19.25 27.5 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 02:45 UTC [P250 | Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) Hidden $113 161 coins $17.42 24.89 coins 0.15x 2026-11-08 06:40 UTC [P250 | Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) Hidden $113 161 coins $17.42 24.89 coins 0.15x 2026-11-08 06:40 UTC [Glock-18 | Reactor (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-minimal-wear) Hidden $113 161 coins $14.81 21.16 coins 0.13x 2026-11-08 06:40 UTC [Glock-18 | Reactor (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-minimal-wear) Hidden $113 161 coins $14.81 21.16 coins 0.13x 2026-11-08 06:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 20:11 UTC | $110 | 90.91% | 21 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $110 | 90.91% | 21 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $109 | 90.91% | 21 | | 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | $113 | 90.91% | 21 | | 3 Nov, 09:32 UTC | $113 | 90.91% | 21 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $113 | 90.91% | 21 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.8% covert 34.4% classified 21.0% restricted 3.8% mil spec 20.0% consumer 20.0% best hit $1,045 (9.25x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt