---
title: "Jackhammer case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Jackhammer ($38.76) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 21 items with odds, observed 80.39% over 172 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jackhammer
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Jackhammer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jackhammer)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Jackhammer

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jackhammer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jackhammer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jackhammer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jackhammer?window=all)

Price · $38.76 · 55.37 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $35.24 from 21 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.39% · 172 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 12 openings · below min

7 days · 84.09% ±18.88 142 openings

30 days · 80.39% ±17.12 172 openings

since tracking started · 80.39% ±17.12 172 openings

12.5% 78.8% 145.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jackhammer?window=24h) | 12 | 78.75% ±65.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jackhammer?window=7d) | 142 | 84.09% ±18.9 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jackhammer) | 172 | 80.39% ±17.1 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jackhammer?window=all) | 172 | 80.39% ±17.1 | −1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 172 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $503 718 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-minimal-wear) | 1 in 154 | $236 337 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $174 249 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Charred (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-field-tested) | 1 in 182 | $170 243 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 200 | $134 192 coins | 1.9% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $116 166 coins | 3.3% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.74× |
| [AWP \| Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $114 163 coins | 2.3% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $109 156 coins | 15.5% | 15 | 8.6 | 1.74× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $102 145 coins | 2.3% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $90.30 129 coins | 5.1% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.58× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $72.10 103 coins | 8.2% | 6 | 6.9 | 0.87× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-well-worn) | 1 in 133 | $52.95 75.64 coins | 1.1% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.55× |
| [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $49.99 71.42 coins | 4.3% | 1 | 5.2 | 0.19× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $43.88 62.69 coins | 4.4% | 6 | 6.0 | 1.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $39.73 56.76 coins | 9.0% | 11 | 13.8 | 0.80× |
| [P250 \| Modern Hunter (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-modern-hunter-well-worn) | 19.4% | $28.87 41.24 coins | 15.9% | 27 | 33.3 | 0.81× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $15.79 22.56 coins | 3.1% | 10 | 12.0 | 0.83× |
| [Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-groundwater-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $15.44 22.06 coins | 2.8% | 13 | 11.2 | 1.16× |
| [SSG 08 \| Detour (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $11.94 17.05 coins | 4.1% | 21 | 20.6 | 1.02× |
| [USP-S \| Para Green (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-para-green-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $7.86 11.23 coins | 2.2% | 22 | 17.2 | 1.28× |
| [M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-faded-zebra-field-tested) | 14.0% | $3.16 4.52 coins | 1.3% | 31 | 24.1 | 1.29× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=jackhammer)

[M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-faded-zebra-field-tested) Hidden $38.76 55.37 coins $3.16 4.52 coins 0.08x 2026-11-10 21:26 UTC

[M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-faded-zebra-field-tested) Hidden $38.76 55.37 coins $3.16 4.52 coins 0.08x 2026-11-10 21:26 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $38.76 55.37 coins $109 156 coins 2.82x 2026-11-10 21:26 UTC

[P90 | Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-field-tested) Hidden $38.76 55.37 coins $90.30 129 coins 2.33x 2026-11-10 21:26 UTC

[USP-S | Para Green (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-para-green-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.76 55.37 coins $7.86 11.23 coins 0.20x 2026-11-10 21:26 UTC

[SSG 08 | Detour (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-minimal-wear) [oshri412](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/oshri412) $38.76 55.37 coins $11.94 17.05 coins 0.31x 2026-11-10 21:26 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-well-worn) Hidden $38.76 55.37 coins $15.79 22.56 coins 0.41x 2026-11-10 19:58 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-well-worn) [hyk ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/hyk%20%E3%83%84) $38.76 55.37 coins $39.73 56.76 coins 1.03x 2026-11-10 19:58 UTC

[P250 | Modern Hunter (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-modern-hunter-well-worn) Hidden $38.76 55.37 coins $28.87 41.24 coins 0.74x 2026-11-10 19:58 UTC

[P250 | Modern Hunter (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-modern-hunter-well-worn) [hyk ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/hyk%20%E3%83%84) $38.76 55.37 coins $28.87 41.24 coins 0.74x 2026-11-10 19:52 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $38.76 | 90.91% | 21 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $39.07 | 90.92% | 21 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $39.04 | 90.91% | 21 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 19.6% classified 13.9% extraordinary 1.7% industrial 19.5% mil spec 45.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt