---
title: "Janissary case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Janissary ($13.31) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 14 items with odds, observed 91.01% over 3,194 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/janissary
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Janissary](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/janissary)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Janissary

A case on CSGORoll (knives, gloves), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/janissary?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/janissary?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/janissary) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/janissary?window=all)

Price · $13.31 · 19.02 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $12.10 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.01% · 3,194 openings, odds method

Variance · 6.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 87.86% ±25.24 380 openings

7 days · 94.14% ±9.52 2,685 openings

30 days · 91.01% ±8.73 3,194 openings

since tracking started · 91.01% ±8.73 3,194 openings

62.0% 88.0% 114.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/janissary?window=24h) | 380 | 87.86% ±25.2 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/janissary?window=7d) | 2,685 | 94.14% ±9.52 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/janissary) | 3,194 | 91.01% ±8.73 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/janissary?window=all) | 3,194 | 91.01% ±8.73 | +0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,194 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Well-Worn) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-well-worn) | 1 in 100,000 | $4,277 6,110 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $1,400 2,000 coins | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 510 | $279 398 coins | 4.5% | 8 | 6.3 | 1.28× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $209 298 coins | 10.3% | 23 | 19.2 | 1.20× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $202 288 coins | 15.0% | 22 | 28.7 | 0.77× |
| [AWP \| LongDog (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $117 167 coins | 2.9% | 7 | 9.6 | 0.73× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Inheritance (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $111 159 coins | 9.2% | 26 | 31.9 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Heaven Guard (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-heaven-guard-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $21.88 31.26 coins | 9.0% | 168 | 159.7 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 10.0% | $14.76 21.09 coins | 12.2% | 319 | 319.4 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $14.66 20.94 coins | 8.5% | 210 | 223.6 | 0.94× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Balance (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-balance-factory-new) | 16.0% | $6.03 8.62 coins | 8.0% | 509 | 511.0 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-urban-hazard-factory-new) | 19.0% | $5.77 8.24 coins | 9.1% | 606 | 606.9 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) | 20.0% | $4.89 6.99 coins | 8.1% | 624 | 638.8 | 0.98× |
| [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.53 2.18 coins | 2.5% | 671 | 638.8 | 1.05× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $13.26 18.94 coins $1,400 2,000 coins 105.6x 2026-11-08 19:48 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=janissary)

[Dual Berettas | Balance (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-balance-factory-new) Hidden $13.31 19.02 coins $6.03 8.62 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC

[StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-arctic-wolf-factory-new) Hidden $13.31 19.02 coins $14.66 20.94 coins 1.10x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) [hieschdavid](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/hieschdavid) $13.31 19.02 coins $111 159 coins 8.36x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC

[Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) [ONE\_TAP Jimmozzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/ONE_TAP%20Jimmozzz) $13.31 19.02 coins $1.53 2.18 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 16:56 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Balance (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-balance-factory-new) Hidden $13.31 19.02 coins $6.03 8.62 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 16:56 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-urban-hazard-factory-new) Hidden $13.31 19.02 coins $5.77 8.24 coins 0.43x 2026-11-11 16:56 UTC

[StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-arctic-wolf-factory-new) [DankChocolates](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/DankChocolates) $13.31 19.02 coins $14.66 20.94 coins 1.10x 2026-11-11 16:56 UTC

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) [ONE\_TAP Jimmozzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/ONE_TAP%20Jimmozzz) $13.31 19.02 coins $4.89 6.99 coins 0.37x 2026-11-11 16:56 UTC

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $13.31 19.02 coins $4.89 6.99 coins 0.37x 2026-11-11 16:56 UTC

[Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) [DankChocolates](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/DankChocolates) $13.31 19.02 coins $1.53 2.18 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 16:56 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $13.31 | 90.90% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $13.26 | 90.92% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $13.33 | 90.89% | 14 |
| 6 Nov, 10:50 UTC | $13.38 | 90.89% | 14 |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | $13.40 | 90.90% | 14 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $13.41 | 90.93% | 14 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed contraband 0.0% covert 2.5% extraordinary 0.2% rare 0.3% restricted 42.0% mil spec 36.0% Mil Spec Grade 19.0% best hit $1,400 (105.6x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt