--- title: "Juicatron 5000 case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Juicatron 5000 ($36.48) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 15 items with odds, observed 83.28% over 15.1K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/juicatron-5000 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Juicatron 5000](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/juicatron-5000) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Juicatron 5000 A case on CSGORoll (5%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/juicatron-5000?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/juicatron-5000?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/juicatron-5000) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/juicatron-5000?window=all) Price · $36.48 · 52.11 coins Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $33.16 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.28% · 15.1K openings, odds method Variance · 34.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 99 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 77.76% ±33.26 1,192 openings 7 days · 81.72% ±10.39 12.2K openings 30 days · 83.28% ±9.35 15.1K openings since tracking started · 83.28% ±9.35 15.1K openings 44.0% 77.8% 111.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/juicatron-5000?window=24h) | 1,192 | 77.76% ±33.3 | −0.8σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/juicatron-5000?window=7d) | 12.2K | 81.72% ±10.4 | −1.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/juicatron-5000) | 15.1K | 83.28% ±9.35 | −1.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/juicatron-5000?window=all) | 15.1K | 83.28% ±9.35 | −1.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15.1K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,892 5,560 coins | 1.2% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,755 3,935 coins | 8.3% | 11 | 15.1 | 0.73× | | [MP9 \| Wild Lily (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $1,844 2,635 coins | 27.8% | 67 | 75.6 | 0.89× | | [★ Karambit \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $1,567 2,239 coins | 18.9% | 50 | 60.5 | 0.83× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 200 | $1,100 1,572 coins | 16.6% | 76 | 75.6 | 1.01× | | [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $883 1,262 coins | 13.3% | 75 | 75.6 | 0.99× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $255 364 coins | 3.8% | 64 | 75.6 | 0.85× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $248 355 coins | 3.7% | 94 | 75.6 | 1.24× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $151 215 coins | 2.3% | 74 | 75.6 | 0.98× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 200 | $110 157 coins | 1.7% | 80 | 75.6 | 1.06× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 101 | $77.00 110 coins | 2.3% | 177 | 149.6 | 1.18× | | [G3SG1 \| Polar Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-polar-camo-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $0.06 0.08 coins | 0.0% | 3,857 | 3778.5 | 1.02× | | [Nova \| Polar Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-polar-mesh-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 2,995 | 3022.8 | 0.99× | | [PP-Bizon \| Urban Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-urban-dashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 3,828 | 3778.5 | 1.01× | | [G3SG1 \| Polar Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-polar-camo-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 3,665 | 3778.5 | 0.97× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $36.48 52.11 coins $3,892 5,560 coins 106.7x 2026-11-10 11:30 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $36.48 52.11 coins $2,755 3,935 coins 75.51x 2026-11-10 00:51 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $36.48 52.11 coins $2,755 3,935 coins 75.51x 2026-11-09 17:57 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [ASS KETCHUP](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/ASS%20KETCHUP) $36.48 52.11 coins $2,755 3,935 coins 75.51x 2026-11-09 16:45 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $36.48 52.11 coins $2,755 3,935 coins 75.51x 2026-11-09 08:30 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $36.48 52.11 coins $2,755 3,935 coins 75.51x 2026-11-09 00:07 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $36.46 52.08 coins $2,755 3,935 coins 75.56x 2026-11-08 17:04 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $36.66 52.37 coins $2,755 3,935 coins 75.14x 2026-11-08 13:51 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $36.66 52.37 coins $2,755 3,935 coins 75.14x 2026-11-06 10:05 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $36.66 52.37 coins $2,755 3,935 coins 75.14x 2026-11-05 14:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=juicatron-5000) [G3SG1 | Polar Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-polar-camo-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.48 52.11 coins $0.06 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:47 UTC [PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-urban-dashed-field-tested) [BENIM](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BENIM) $36.48 52.11 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:38 UTC [Nova | Polar Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-polar-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $36.48 52.11 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:29 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) Hidden $36.48 52.11 coins $77.00 110 coins 2.11x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC [Nova | Polar Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-polar-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $36.48 52.11 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:27 UTC [PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-urban-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $36.48 52.11 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [G3SG1 | Polar Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-polar-camo-field-tested) [Solatyre](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Solatyre) $36.48 52.11 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:21 UTC [G3SG1 | Polar Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-polar-camo-field-tested) Hidden $36.48 52.11 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:15 UTC [Nova | Polar Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-polar-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $36.48 52.11 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:03 UTC [PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-urban-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $36.48 52.11 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $36.48 | 90.90% | 15 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $36.48 | 90.91% | 15 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $36.44 | 90.90% | 15 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $36.66 | 90.91% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.1% classified 1.0% epic 0.4% extraordinary 0.5% gold 1.0% consumer 95.0% best hit $3,892 (106.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt