---
title: "Jungle Jewel case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Jungle Jewel ($15.23) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 20 items with odds, observed 86.69% over 1,079 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-jewel
rendered: 2026-11-12T00:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Jungle Jewel](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-jewel)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Jungle Jewel

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-jewel?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-jewel?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-jewel) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-jewel?window=all)

Price · $15.23 · 21.76 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $13.85 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.69% · 1,079 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 90.42% ±31.26 129 openings

7 days · 87.52% ±11.52 950 openings

30 days · 86.69% ±10.82 1,079 openings

since tracking started · 86.69% ±10.82 1,079 openings

58.5% 90.5% 122.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-jewel?window=24h) | 129 | 90.42% ±31.3 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-jewel?window=7d) | 950 | 87.52% ±11.5 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-jewel) | 1,079 | 86.69% ±10.8 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-jewel?window=all) | 1,079 | 86.69% ±10.8 | −0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,079 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $402 574 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sand-dune-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $284 406 coins | 6.2% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.24× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $221 316 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 200 | $107 153 coins | 3.9% | 4 | 5.4 | 0.74× |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 182 | $90.30 129 coins | 3.6% | 6 | 5.9 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $74.90 107 coins | 8.1% | 16 | 16.2 | 0.99× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 125 | $62.06 88.65 coins | 3.6% | 10 | 8.6 | 1.16× |
| [M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-faded-zebra-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $61.01 87.15 coins | 17.6% | 38 | 43.2 | 0.88× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Giraffe (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-giraffe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $58.07 82.95 coins | 1.7% | 1 | 4.3 | 0.23× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $52.63 75.19 coins | 7.6% | 32 | 21.6 | 1.48× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $49.00 70 coins | 1.8% | 8 | 5.4 | 1.48× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $43.76 62.52 coins | 3.2% | 12 | 10.8 | 1.11× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $27.10 38.71 coins | 15.9% | 75 | 87.4 | 0.86× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $26.82 38.32 coins | 5.8% | 28 | 32.4 | 0.86× |
| [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $17.88 25.55 coins | 6.5% | 53 | 54.0 | 0.98× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $15.79 22.56 coins | 8.0% | 69 | 75.5 | 0.91× |
| [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $9.40 13.43 coins | 0.1% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× |
| [SSG 08 \| Necropos (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $1.04 1.48 coins | 1.5% | 234 | 215.8 | 1.08× |
| [Tec-9 \| Groundwater (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-groundwater-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.89 1.27 coins | 1.3% | 203 | 215.8 | 0.94× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.43 0.62 coins | 0.8% | 285 | 269.8 | 1.06× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 20:32 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=jungle-jewel)

[★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-field-tested) Hidden $15.23 21.76 coins $43.76 62.52 coins 2.87x 2026-11-12 00:28 UTC

[AWP | Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) [d00f](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/d00f) $15.23 21.76 coins $27.10 38.71 coins 1.78x 2026-11-12 00:28 UTC

[SSG 08 | Necropos (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.23 21.76 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 23:48 UTC

[USP-S | Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-field-tested) Hidden $15.23 21.76 coins $0.43 0.62 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 23:48 UTC

[SSG 08 | Necropos (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.23 21.76 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 23:48 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $15.23 21.76 coins $107 153 coins 7.03x 2026-11-11 23:48 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-well-worn) Hidden $15.23 21.76 coins $15.79 22.56 coins 1.04x 2026-11-11 23:48 UTC

[AWP | Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) [d00f](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/d00f) $15.23 21.76 coins $27.10 38.71 coins 1.78x 2026-11-11 23:48 UTC

[USP-S | Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-field-tested) Hidden $15.23 21.76 coins $0.43 0.62 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 23:47 UTC

[SSG 08 | Necropos (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.23 21.76 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 23:47 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $15.23 | 90.90% | 20 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $15.23 | 90.89% | 20 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $15.27 | 90.91% | 20 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $15.25 | 90.91% | 20 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $15.25 | 90.92% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 5.0% industrial 0.5% classified 8.1% mil spec 24.0% extraordinary 4.4% restricted 38.1% consumer 20.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt