---
title: "Jungle Juice case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Jungle Juice ($101.26) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 12 items with odds, observed 56.12% over 73 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-juice
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:44Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Jungle Juice](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-juice)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Jungle Juice

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-juice?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-juice?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-juice) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-juice?window=all)

Price · $101.26 · 145 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $92.06 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 56.12% · 73 openings, odds method

Variance · 8.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 4 openings · below min

7 days · 61 openings · below min

30 days · 73 openings · below min

since tracking started · 73 openings · below min

-0.5% 182.0% 364.5%

**Small sample.** 73 openings and 14.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-juice?window=24h) | 4 | 75.90% ±287.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-juice?window=7d) | 61 | 57.22% ±74.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-juice) | 73 | 56.12% ±67.6 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jungle-juice?window=all) | 73 | 56.12% ±67.6 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 73 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $5,023 7,175 coins | 10.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $3,311 4,730 coins | 10.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $1,035 1,478 coins | 5.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 111 | $382 546 coins | 3.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-field-tested) | 18.0% | $158 226 coins | 30.9% | 11 | 13.1 | 0.84× |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $118 169 coins | 6.4% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.55× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $114 163 coins | 2.5% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $102 145 coins | 1.3% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $91.70 131 coins | 3.5% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.78× |
| [M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $85.40 122 coins | 7.4% | 5 | 5.8 | 0.86× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $37.86 54.09 coins | 3.3% | 5 | 5.8 | 0.86× |
| [P90 \| Shapewood (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-factory-new) | 52.4% | $23.86 34.09 coins | 13.6% | 45 | 38.3 | 1.18× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 20:32 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=jungle-juice)

[P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-factory-new) Hidden $101 145 coins $23.86 34.09 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 18:32 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-minimal-wear) Hidden $101 145 coins $102 145 coins 1.00x 2026-11-11 18:32 UTC

[★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-field-tested) Hidden $101 145 coins $158 226 coins 1.56x 2026-11-11 18:32 UTC

[P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-factory-new) [Call me Johnny](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Call%20me%20Johnny) $101 145 coins $23.86 34.09 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 18:32 UTC

[P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-factory-new) Hidden $101 145 coins $23.86 34.09 coins 0.24x 2026-11-10 05:20 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) Hidden $101 145 coins $37.86 54.09 coins 0.37x 2026-11-10 05:20 UTC

[★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-field-tested) Hidden $101 145 coins $158 226 coins 1.56x 2026-11-10 05:20 UTC

[★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-field-tested) [BeastafiedBeast](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BeastafiedBeast) $101 145 coins $158 226 coins 1.56x 2026-11-10 05:20 UTC

[P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-factory-new) Hidden $104 149 coins $23.94 34.2 coins 0.23x 2026-11-07 02:17 UTC

[P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-factory-new) Hidden $104 149 coins $23.94 34.2 coins 0.23x 2026-11-07 02:17 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $101 | 90.91% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $101 | 90.91% | 12 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $104 | 90.91% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 15.1% epic 0.3% extraordinary 19.2% classified 57.4% industrial 8.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
