--- title: "Jurassic Case case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Jurassic Case ($27.71) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 10 items with odds, observed 100.38% over 473 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jurassic-case rendered: 2026-11-11T19:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Jurassic Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jurassic-case) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Jurassic Case A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jurassic-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jurassic-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jurassic-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jurassic-case?window=all) Price · $27.71 · 39.58 coins Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $25.19 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 100.38% · 473 openings, odds method Variance · 2.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 30.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 57 openings · below min 7 days · 104.98% ±16.76 352 openings 30 days · 100.38% ±14.32 473 openings since tracking started · 100.38% ±14.32 473 openings 60.5% 104.7% 149.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jurassic-case?window=24h) | 57 | 104.89% ±43.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jurassic-case?window=7d) | 352 | 104.98% ±16.8 | +1.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jurassic-case) | 473 | 100.38% ±14.3 | +1.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jurassic-case?window=all) | 473 | 100.38% ±14.3 | +1.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 473 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Snake Camo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-snake-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $366 523 coins | 21.8% | 9 | 7.1 | 1.27× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $178 254 coins | 3.5% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.27× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-well-worn) | 1 in 333 | $160 228 coins | 1.9% | 5 | 1.4 | 3.52× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $116 166 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $61.14 87.34 coins | 7.3% | 21 | 14.2 | 1.48× | | [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $41.94 59.92 coins | 8.3% | 16 | 23.7 | 0.68× | | [UMP-45 \| Bone Pile (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-bone-pile-factory-new) | 19.5% | $32.23 46.04 coins | 24.9% | 87 | 92.2 | 0.94× | | [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $21.74 31.06 coins | 12.9% | 72 | 71.0 | 1.01× | | [XM1014 \| Bone Machine (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-bone-machine-factory-new) | 25.0% | $15.91 22.73 coins | 15.8% | 118 | 118.3 | 1.00× | | [P250 \| Bone Mask (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bone-mask-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $2.14 3.06 coins | 2.6% | 142 | 141.9 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=jurassic-case) [P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bone-mask-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.71 39.58 coins $2.14 3.06 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC [P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bone-mask-minimal-wear) [DankChocolates](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/DankChocolates) $27.71 39.58 coins $2.14 3.06 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC [M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.71 39.58 coins $21.74 31.06 coins 0.78x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC [M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.71 39.58 coins $21.74 31.06 coins 0.78x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC [UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-bone-pile-factory-new) Hidden $27.71 39.58 coins $32.23 46.04 coins 1.16x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC [XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-bone-machine-factory-new) Hidden $27.71 39.58 coins $15.91 22.73 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC [P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bone-mask-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.71 39.58 coins $2.14 3.06 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:31 UTC [P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bone-mask-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.71 39.58 coins $2.14 3.06 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:31 UTC [UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-bone-pile-factory-new) Hidden $27.71 39.58 coins $32.23 46.04 coins 1.16x 2026-11-11 18:31 UTC [AWP | Snake Camo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-snake-camo-factory-new) Hidden $27.71 39.58 coins $366 523 coins 13.21x 2026-11-11 18:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $27.71 | 90.92% | 10 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $27.59 | 90.91% | 10 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $26.77 | 90.91% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed mil spec 46.0% covert 3.5% extraordinary 0.5% classified 20.0% consumer 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt