--- title: "Justice case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Justice ($25.33) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 16 items with odds, observed 94.54% over 862 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/justice rendered: 2026-11-11T15:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Justice](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/justice) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Justice A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/justice?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/justice?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/justice) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/justice?window=all) Price · $25.33 · 36.18 coins Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $23.02 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.54% · 862 openings, odds method Variance · 4.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 87 openings · below min 7 days · 92.33% ±16.22 664 openings 30 days · 94.54% ±14.22 862 openings since tracking started · 94.54% ±14.22 862 openings 75.5% 130.3% 185.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/justice?window=24h) | 87 | 139.38% ±44.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/justice?window=7d) | 664 | 92.33% ±16.2 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/justice) | 862 | 94.54% ±14.2 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/justice?window=all) | 862 | 94.54% ±14.2 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 862 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $316 452 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-vaporwave-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $270 386 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 2,000 | $260 372 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $211 301 coins | 54.9% | 54 | 51.7 | 1.04× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $148 211 coins | 7.1% | 11 | 9.5 | 1.16× | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $142 203 coins | 4.3% | 8 | 6.0 | 1.33× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $130 186 coins | 2.8% | 1 | 4.3 | 0.23× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 71 | $86.10 123 coins | 5.2% | 17 | 12.1 | 1.41× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $41.03 58.61 coins | 10.7% | 51 | 51.7 | 0.99× | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Yellow-banded (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-yellow-banded-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $38.21 54.58 coins | 4.1% | 24 | 21.6 | 1.11× | | [Sticker \| Miami Flick (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-flick-holo) | 1 in 13 | $6.57 9.39 coins | 2.3% | 71 | 69.0 | 1.03× | | [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $6.19 8.84 coins | 2.4% | 83 | 77.6 | 1.07× | | [Sticker \| Sticker Bomb Surf Ava (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sticker-bomb-surf-ava-foil) | 12.0% | $4.56 6.52 coins | 2.4% | 105 | 103.4 | 1.02× | | [Sticker \| Coral Skill Surf (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-coral-skill-surf-holo) | 15.7% | $2.07 2.96 coins | 1.4% | 131 | 135.2 | 0.97× | | [P250 \| Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) | 17.0% | $0.85 1.21 coins | 0.6% | 131 | 146.5 | 0.89× | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Grim (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-grim-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.45 0.64 coins | 0.4% | 175 | 172.4 | 1.02× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=justice) [Sticker | Miami Flick (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-flick-holo) Hidden $25.33 36.18 coins $6.57 9.39 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC [P250 | Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.33 36.18 coins $0.85 1.21 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC [Sticker | Coral Skill Surf (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-coral-skill-surf-holo) Hidden $25.33 36.18 coins $2.07 2.96 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC [P250 | Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.33 36.18 coins $0.85 1.21 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-well-worn) Hidden $25.33 36.18 coins $211 301 coins 8.32x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) [Kisu :)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kisu%20%3A%29) $25.33 36.18 coins $86.10 123 coins 3.40x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC [Sticker | Sticker Bomb Surf Ava (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sticker-bomb-surf-ava-foil) Hidden $25.33 36.18 coins $4.56 6.52 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 10:05 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-grim-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.33 36.18 coins $0.45 0.64 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:05 UTC [P250 | Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.33 36.18 coins $0.85 1.21 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 10:05 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-grim-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.33 36.18 coins $0.45 0.64 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $25.33 | 90.90% | 16 | | 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $25.33 | 90.90% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $25.33 | 90.92% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $25.52 | 90.91% | 16 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $25.66 | 90.91% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 15.3% legendary 0.1% extraordinary 3.0% remarkable 23.7% classified 9.0% exotic 12.0% restricted 17.0% mil spec 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt