--- title: "Kingslayer case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Kingslayer ($31.34) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 15 items with odds, observed 93.17% over 2,417 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kingslayer rendered: 2026-11-11T13:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Kingslayer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kingslayer) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Kingslayer A case on CSGORoll (20%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kingslayer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kingslayer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kingslayer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kingslayer?window=all) Price · $31.34 · 44.77 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $28.49 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.17% · 2,417 openings, odds method Variance · 7.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 103.13% ±37.97 196 openings 7 days · 93.25% ±13.46 1,560 openings 30 days · 93.17% ±10.81 2,417 openings since tracking started · 93.17% ±10.81 2,417 openings 64.5% 103.0% 141.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kingslayer?window=24h) | 196 | 103.13% ±38.0 | +0.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kingslayer?window=7d) | 1,560 | 93.25% ±13.5 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kingslayer) | 2,417 | 93.17% ±10.8 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kingslayer?window=all) | 2,417 | 93.17% ±10.8 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,417 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,170 1,672 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,142 1,631 coins | 2.0% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.48× | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $963 1,376 coins | 3.4% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 2,000 | $832 1,188 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 500 | $573 818 coins | 4.0% | 6 | 4.8 | 1.24× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Leather (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $516 737 coins | 7.2% | 5 | 9.7 | 0.52× | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $377 539 coins | 13.2% | 28 | 24.2 | 1.16× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 167 | $285 407 coins | 6.0% | 19 | 14.5 | 1.31× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-well-worn) | 1 in 71 | $205 293 coins | 10.1% | 35 | 33.8 | 1.03× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $193 275 coins | 13.5% | 46 | 48.3 | 0.95× | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Charred (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $128 183 coins | 13.5% | 69 | 72.5 | 0.95× | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $102 145 coins | 11.4% | 91 | 77.1 | 1.18× | | [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $49.01 70.01 coins | 13.8% | 189 | 193.4 | 0.98× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 40.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 1,000 | 966.8 | 1.03× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 40.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 924 | 966.8 | 0.96× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Glock-18 | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.34 44.77 coins $1,142 1,631 coins 36.43x 2026-11-10 08:25 UTC [Glock-18 | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.82 45.46 coins $1,134 1,620 coins 35.64x 2026-11-05 00:04 UTC [Glock-18 | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.82 45.46 coins $1,134 1,620 coins 35.64x 2026-11-04 10:51 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) Hidden $31.82 45.46 coins $985 1,407 coins 30.95x 2026-11-03 10:45 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) Hidden $31.34 44.77 coins $963 1,376 coins 30.73x 2026-11-10 11:39 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $31.34 44.77 coins $573 818 coins 18.27x 2026-11-10 06:48 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [sup](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/sup) $31.34 44.77 coins $573 818 coins 18.27x 2026-11-09 22:39 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $31.34 44.77 coins $573 818 coins 18.27x 2026-11-09 10:29 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $31.82 45.46 coins $573 818 coins 17.99x 2026-11-07 13:51 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $31.82 45.46 coins $573 818 coins 17.99x 2026-11-06 22:58 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=kingslayer) [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $31.34 44.77 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $31.34 44.77 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $31.34 44.77 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) Hidden $31.34 44.77 coins $193 275 coins 6.14x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $31.34 44.77 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $31.34 44.77 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $31.34 44.77 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $31.34 44.77 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $31.34 44.77 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $31.34 44.77 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $31.34 | 90.91% | 15 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $31.82 | 90.91% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 6.2% restricted 0.1% extraordinary 4.8% classified 9.0% consumer 80.0% best hit $1,142 (36.43x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt