---
title: "Knock Out case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Knock Out ($215.07) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 16 items with odds, observed 88.49% over 1,909 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/knock-out
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Knock Out](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/knock-out)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Knock Out

A case on CSGORoll (10%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/knock-out?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/knock-out?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/knock-out) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/knock-out?window=all)

Price · $215.07 · 307 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $195.52 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.49% · 1,909 openings, odds method

Variance · 27.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 49 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 91.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 115 openings · below min

7 days · 86.95% ±27.60 1,366 openings

30 days · 88.49% ±23.34 1,909 openings

since tracking started · 88.49% ±23.34 1,909 openings

22.5% 118.8% 215.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/knock-out?window=24h) | 115 | 118.81% ±95.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/knock-out?window=7d) | 1,366 | 86.95% ±27.6 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/knock-out) | 1,909 | 88.49% ±23.3 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/knock-out?window=all) | 1,909 | 88.49% ±23.3 | −0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,909 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $21.8K 31,155 coins | 11.2% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $12K 17,180 coins | 24.6% | 6 | 7.6 | 0.79× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $4,655 6,650 coins | 7.1% | 6 | 5.7 | 1.05× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $4,025 5,750 coins | 5.1% | 4 | 4.8 | 0.84× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $2,230 3,185 coins | 11.4% | 23 | 19.1 | 1.20× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 154 | $2,033 2,905 coins | 6.8% | 9 | 12.4 | 0.73× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,432 2,045 coins | 3.7% | 13 | 9.5 | 1.36× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,292 1,845 coins | 6.6% | 29 | 19.1 | 1.52× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,285 1,835 coins | 6.6% | 10 | 19.1 | 0.52× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $1,067 1,524 coins | 4.4% | 14 | 15.3 | 0.92× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lt. Commander (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lt-commander-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $917 1,310 coins | 4.7% | 20 | 19.1 | 1.05× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $723 1,033 coins | 3.7% | 21 | 19.1 | 1.10× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $627 896 coins | 3.2% | 20 | 19.1 | 1.05× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Giraffe (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-giraffe-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $193 276 coins | 1.0% | 20 | 19.1 | 1.05× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 45.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 820 | 859.1 | 0.95× |
| [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 45.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 892 | 859.1 | 1.04× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $218 311 coins $21.8K 31,155 coins 100.1x 2026-11-04 00:06 UTC

[Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $218 311 coins $21.8K 31,155 coins 100.1x 2026-11-03 11:44 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $215 307 coins $12K 17,180 coins 55.92x 2026-11-10 10:19 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $215 307 coins $12K 17,180 coins 55.92x 2026-11-09 19:36 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) [Falken](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Falken) $218 311 coins $12K 17,180 coins 55.21x 2026-11-06 11:18 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $218 311 coins $12K 17,180 coins 55.21x 2026-11-05 01:13 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $218 311 coins $12K 17,180 coins 55.21x 2026-11-04 22:17 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $218 311 coins $12K 17,180 coins 55.21x 2026-11-04 19:02 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) Hidden $218 311 coins $4,830 6,900 coins 22.18x 2026-11-05 14:39 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) Hidden $218 311 coins $4,830 6,900 coins 22.18x 2026-11-05 14:34 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=knock-out)

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $215 307 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $215 307 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $215 307 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $215 307 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $215 307 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $215 307 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [karma](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/karma) $215 307 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $215 307 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-minimal-wear) Hidden $215 307 coins $723 1,033 coins 3.36x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) Hidden $215 307 coins $1,285 1,835 coins 5.97x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $215 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $218 | 90.91% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed remarkable 0.1% extraordinary 7.6% legendary 2.3% consumer 90.0% best hit $21.8K (100.1x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt