--- title: "Kryptonite case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Kryptonite ($172.94) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 17 items with odds, observed 82.91% over 397 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kryptonite rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Kryptonite](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kryptonite) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Kryptonite A case on CSGORoll (knives, 40%, gloves), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kryptonite?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kryptonite?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kryptonite) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kryptonite?window=all) Price · $172.94 · 247 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $157.21 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.91% · 397 openings, odds method Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 17.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 67.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 27 openings · below min 7 days · 85.98% ±12.45 329 openings 30 days · 82.91% ±11.34 397 openings since tracking started · 82.91% ±11.34 397 openings 20.0% 64.0% 108.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kryptonite?window=24h) | 27 | 64.12% ±43.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kryptonite?window=7d) | 329 | 85.98% ±12.5 | −0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kryptonite) | 397 | 82.91% ±11.3 | −1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/kryptonite?window=all) | 397 | 82.91% ±11.3 | −1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 398 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 41,667 | $6,335 9,050 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66,667 | $6,269 8,955 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 52,632 | $6,125 8,750 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,923 | $1,766 2,523 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,030 | $1,472 2,103 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 813 | $1,170 1,672 coins | 0.9% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 41 | $638 912 coins | 9.9% | 6 | 9.7 | 0.62× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 29 | $533 762 coins | 11.9% | 12 | 13.9 | 0.86× | | [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $493 704 coins | 18.8% | 24 | 23.9 | 1.01× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 20 | $424 606 coins | 13.5% | 19 | 19.9 | 0.95× | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $386 551 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 16 | $356 508 coins | 14.2% | 20 | 25.1 | 0.80× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 11 | $204 291 coins | 11.3% | 34 | 34.6 | 0.98× | | [Glock-18 \| Emerald (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-emerald-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $172 246 coins | 8.2% | 25 | 29.8 | 0.84× | | [Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-minimal-wear) | 21.0% | $26.52 37.88 coins | 3.5% | 76 | 83.6 | 0.91× | | [SCAR-20 \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-factory-new) | 19.1% | $26.08 37.25 coins | 3.2% | 88 | 76.2 | 1.15× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) | 20.0% | $23.07 32.95 coins | 2.9% | 92 | 79.6 | 1.16× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $170 242 coins $1,223 1,747 coins 7.21x 2026-11-07 03:48 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $173 247 coins $1,170 1,672 coins 6.77x 2026-11-08 20:26 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $170 242 coins $641 915 coins 3.78x 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $170 242 coins $641 915 coins 3.78x 2026-11-06 21:39 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $170 242 coins $641 915 coins 3.78x 2026-11-06 15:13 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $170 242 coins $641 915 coins 3.78x 2026-11-06 01:32 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $170 242 coins $641 915 coins 3.78x 2026-11-06 01:27 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $170 242 coins $641 915 coins 3.78x 2026-11-05 16:50 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $170 242 coins $535 764 coins 3.15x 2026-11-08 09:10 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [Kevin Ramage](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kevin%20Ramage) $170 242 coins $535 764 coins 3.15x 2026-11-08 08:16 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=kryptonite) [SCAR-20 | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $173 247 coins $26.08 37.25 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) [Jpoke](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jpoke) $173 247 coins $23.07 32.95 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $173 247 coins $424 606 coins 2.45x 2026-11-11 05:42 UTC [SCAR-20 | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $173 247 coins $26.08 37.25 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 04:16 UTC [Glock-18 | Emerald (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-emerald-field-tested) Hidden $173 247 coins $172 246 coins 1.00x 2026-11-11 03:34 UTC [Dual Berettas | Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-minimal-wear) Hidden $173 247 coins $26.52 37.88 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 02:47 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $173 247 coins $23.07 32.95 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 01:40 UTC [SCAR-20 | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $173 247 coins $26.08 37.25 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 01:36 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $173 247 coins $23.07 32.95 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 00:42 UTC [P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) [Trgi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Trgi) $173 247 coins $493 704 coins 2.85x 2026-11-11 00:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $173 | 90.91% | 17 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $172 | 90.91% | 17 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $170 | 90.91% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 33.6% extraordinary 0.0% classified 6.0% restricted 19.3% mil spec 41.0% best hit $1,223 (7.21x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt