--- title: "Lagoon case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Lagoon ($13.43) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 83.88% over 15K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/lagoon rendered: 2026-11-11T13:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Lagoon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/lagoon) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Lagoon A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/lagoon?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/lagoon?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/lagoon) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/lagoon?window=all) Price · $13.43 · 19.18 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 83.88% · 15K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 74.26% ±9.06 1,725 openings 7 days · 83.53% ±4.85 12.9K openings 30 days · 83.88% ±4.41 15K openings since tracking started · 83.88% ±4.41 15K openings 64.5% 76.8% 89.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/lagoon?window=24h) | 1,725 | 74.26% ±9.06 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/lagoon?window=7d) | 12.9K | 83.53% ±4.85 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/lagoon) | 15K | 83.88% ±4.41 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/lagoon?window=all) | 15K | 83.88% ±4.41 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $13.43 19.18 coins $1,269 1,813 coins 94.53x 2026-11-07 04:29 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) [datdrop42069](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/datdrop42069) $13.43 19.18 coins $1,269 1,813 coins 94.53x 2026-11-05 04:10 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $13.43 19.18 coins $1,269 1,813 coins 94.53x 2026-11-04 19:33 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $13.76 19.66 coins $1,241 1,773 coins 90.18x 2026-11-10 12:25 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $13.76 19.66 coins $1,241 1,773 coins 90.18x 2026-11-10 11:50 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $13.76 19.66 coins $1,241 1,773 coins 90.18x 2026-11-09 00:15 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=lagoon) [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $13.76 19.66 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [USP-S | Business Class (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-business-class-well-worn) Hidden $13.76 19.66 coins $28.34 40.49 coins 2.06x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [P90 | Baroque Red (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-baroque-red-field-tested) Hidden $13.76 19.66 coins $25.35 36.22 coins 1.84x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $13.76 19.66 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:46 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $13.76 19.66 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:46 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $13.76 19.66 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:46 UTC [Tec-9 | Groundwater (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-groundwater-field-tested) Hidden $13.76 19.66 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $13.76 19.66 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $13.76 19.66 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $13.76 19.66 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,269 (94.53x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.88 on average: an expected loss of $16.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt