---
title: "Leftovers case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Leftovers ($8.87) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 16 items with odds, observed 91.37% over 4,455 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/leftovers
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Leftovers](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/leftovers)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Leftovers

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/leftovers?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/leftovers?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/leftovers) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/leftovers?window=all)

Price · $8.87 · 12.67 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $8.06 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.37% · 4,455 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 87.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 83.47% ±21.60 617 openings

7 days · 90.40% ±8.64 3,876 openings

30 days · 91.37% ±8.06 4,455 openings

since tracking started · 91.37% ±8.06 4,455 openings

61.0% 83.3% 105.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/leftovers?window=24h) | 617 | 83.47% ±21.6 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/leftovers?window=7d) | 3,876 | 90.40% ±8.64 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/leftovers) | 4,455 | 91.37% ±8.06 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/leftovers?window=all) | 4,455 | 91.37% ±8.06 | +0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,465 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $102 146 coins | 76.0% | 268 | 267.9 | 1.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $61.94 88.49 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $56.39 80.56 coins | 0.3% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.34× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $42.29 60.41 coins | 0.3% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.34× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Toybox (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-toybox-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $31.56 45.08 coins | 4.3% | 57 | 49.1 | 1.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $27.04 38.63 coins | 1.7% | 23 | 22.3 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $18.43 26.33 coins | 3.2% | 54 | 62.5 | 0.86× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $12.05 17.21 coins | 3.7% | 101 | 111.6 | 0.90× |
| [Patch \| Death From Below patch · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-death-from-below) | 1 in 143 | $11.35 16.21 coins | 1.0% | 36 | 31.3 | 1.15× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $3.00 4.29 coins | 2.2% | 297 | 267.9 | 1.11× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $1.45 2.07 coins | 1.6% | 381 | 401.8 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $1.02 1.45 coins | 1.5% | 532 | 535.8 | 0.99× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-minimal-wear) | 15.7% | $1.01 1.44 coins | 2.0% | 700 | 700.6 | 1.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Silver Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $0.42 0.6 coins | 0.4% | 339 | 357.2 | 0.95× |
| [G3SG1 \| Orange Crash (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-factory-new) | 17.0% | $0.39 0.56 coins | 0.8% | 768 | 759.1 | 1.01× |
| [Nova \| Wild Six (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wild-six-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.32 0.46 coins | 0.8% | 903 | 893.0 | 1.01× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=leftovers)

[Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wild-six-field-tested) Hidden $8.87 12.67 coins $0.32 0.46 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC

[Glock-18 | Catacombs (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.87 12.67 coins $1.02 1.45 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-factory-new) Hidden $8.87 12.67 coins $0.42 0.6 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC

[Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-minimal-wear) [Epexxx](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Epexxx) $8.87 12.67 coins $1.01 1.44 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC

[Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wild-six-field-tested) Hidden $8.87 12.67 coins $0.32 0.46 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.87 12.67 coins $1.45 2.07 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[Glock-18 | Catacombs (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.87 12.67 coins $1.02 1.45 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-factory-new) [Bismillah Alrahim Alraham](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Bismillah%20Alrahim%20Alraham) $8.87 12.67 coins $3.00 4.29 coins 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.87 12.67 coins $1.01 1.44 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) Hidden $8.87 12.67 coins $102 146 coins 11.52x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC | $8.87 | 90.92% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $8.87 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $8.88 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $8.84 | 90.90% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 10:50 UTC | $8.93 | 90.92% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $8.93 | 90.93% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | $8.93 | 90.92% | 16 |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | $8.93 | 90.93% | 16 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $8.92 | 90.91% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 6.1% classified 5.1% restricted 29.5% remarkable 0.7% mil spec 43.0% #4b69ff 15.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt