--- title: "Levitation case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Levitation ($63.05) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 13 items with odds, observed 90.02% over 835 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/levitation rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Levitation](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/levitation) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Levitation A case on CSGORoll (20%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/levitation?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/levitation?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/levitation) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/levitation?window=all) Price · $63.05 · 90.07 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $57.32 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.02% · 835 openings, odds method Variance · 7.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 93.45% ±46.78 129 openings 7 days · 87.81% ±20.45 681 openings 30 days · 90.02% ±18.48 835 openings since tracking started · 90.02% ±18.48 835 openings 46.0% 93.5% 141.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/levitation?window=24h) | 129 | 93.45% ±46.8 | +0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/levitation?window=7d) | 681 | 87.81% ±20.5 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/levitation) | 835 | 90.02% ±18.5 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/levitation?window=all) | 835 | 90.02% ±18.5 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 835 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,365 6,235 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $2,499 3,570 coins | 8.7% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,301 1,859 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,170 1,672 coins | 1.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $792 1,131 coins | 13.8% | 10 | 8.3 | 1.20× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $273 390 coins | 38.1% | 63 | 66.8 | 0.94× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $270 386 coins | 14.1% | 28 | 25.1 | 1.12× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 50 | $221 315 coins | 7.7% | 16 | 16.7 | 0.96× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $193 275 coins | 1.7% | 2 | 4.2 | 0.48× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 50 | $154 220 coins | 5.4% | 24 | 16.7 | 1.44× | | [★ Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $128 183 coins | 7.1% | 25 | 26.6 | 0.94× | | [P2000 \| Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-field-tested) | 40.0% | $0.31 0.44 coins | 0.2% | 318 | 334.0 | 0.95× | | [P2000 \| Ivory (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-well-worn) | 40.0% | $0.31 0.44 coins | 0.2% | 347 | 334.0 | 1.04× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $62.96 89.94 coins $2,499 3,570 coins 39.69x 2026-11-04 04:09 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $63.05 90.07 coins $1,170 1,672 coins 18.56x 2026-11-10 17:55 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-field-tested) Hidden $62.96 89.94 coins $814 1,163 coins 12.93x 2026-11-08 02:41 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-field-tested) Hidden $62.96 89.94 coins $814 1,163 coins 12.93x 2026-11-07 00:37 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-field-tested) [Carry](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Carry) $62.96 89.94 coins $814 1,163 coins 12.93x 2026-11-06 22:31 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-field-tested) [Chris Handsome](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Chris%20Handsome) $62.96 89.94 coins $814 1,163 coins 12.93x 2026-11-06 19:55 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-field-tested) [-hg- Stain](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/-hg-%20Stain) $62.96 89.94 coins $814 1,163 coins 12.93x 2026-11-06 17:23 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-field-tested) Hidden $62.96 89.94 coins $814 1,163 coins 12.93x 2026-11-04 23:30 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-field-tested) Hidden $62.96 89.94 coins $814 1,163 coins 12.93x 2026-11-04 19:51 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-field-tested) Hidden $62.96 89.94 coins $814 1,163 coins 12.93x 2026-11-04 10:36 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=levitation) [P2000 | Ivory (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-well-worn) Hidden $63.05 90.07 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:16 UTC [P2000 | Ivory (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-well-worn) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $63.05 90.07 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:16 UTC [P2000 | Ivory (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-well-worn) Hidden $63.05 90.07 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:16 UTC [P2000 | Ivory (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-well-worn) Hidden $63.05 90.07 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:16 UTC [P2000 | Ivory (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-well-worn) Hidden $63.05 90.07 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:15 UTC [P2000 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-field-tested) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $63.05 90.07 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:15 UTC [P2000 | Ivory (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-well-worn) Hidden $63.05 90.07 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:15 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $63.05 90.07 coins $270 386 coins 4.29x 2026-11-11 11:15 UTC [P2000 | Ivory (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-well-worn) Hidden $63.05 90.07 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:15 UTC [P2000 | Ivory (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-well-worn) Hidden $63.05 90.07 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $63.05 | 90.91% | 13 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $63.05 | 90.91% | 13 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $62.96 | 90.91% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed contraband 0.0% legendary 0.2% covert 18.8% extraordinary 1.0% mil spec 80.0% best hit $2,499 (39.69x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt