--- title: "Magnetic case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Magnetic ($7.64) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.88% from 17 items with odds, observed 88.77% over 2,872 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/magnetic rendered: 2026-11-11T13:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Magnetic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/magnetic) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Magnetic A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/magnetic?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/magnetic?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/magnetic) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/magnetic?window=all) Price · $7.64 · 10.91 coins Advertised RTP · 90.88% · EV $6.94 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.77% · 2,872 openings, odds method Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 86.01% ±15.12 320 openings 7 days · 88.34% ±5.53 2,376 openings 30 days · 88.77% ±5.02 2,872 openings since tracking started · 88.77% ±5.02 2,872 openings 70.0% 86.0% 102.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/magnetic?window=24h) | 320 | 86.01% ±15.1 | −0.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/magnetic?window=7d) | 2,376 | 88.34% ±5.53 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/magnetic) | 2,872 | 88.77% ±5.02 | −0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/magnetic?window=all) | 2,872 | 88.77% ±5.02 | −0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,872 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $109 156 coins | 7.9% | 15 | 14.4 | 1.04× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $41.03 58.61 coins | 11.8% | 42 | 57.4 | 0.73× | | [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $26.61 38.01 coins | 11.5% | 88 | 86.2 | 1.02× | | [MP9 \| Airlock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $20.05 28.65 coins | 8.7% | 83 | 86.2 | 0.96× | | [SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $19.19 27.42 coins | 5.5% | 55 | 57.4 | 0.96× | | [AK-47 \| Predator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-predator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $12.18 17.4 coins | 5.3% | 92 | 86.2 | 1.07× | | [USP-S \| Stainless (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $11.75 16.78 coins | 5.1% | 80 | 86.2 | 0.93× | | [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $10.25 14.65 coins | 4.4% | 86 | 86.2 | 1.00× | | [P250 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $10.25 14.64 coins | 4.4% | 79 | 86.2 | 0.92× | | [UMP-45 \| Fallout Warning (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $8.64 12.34 coins | 3.7% | 92 | 86.2 | 1.07× | | [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Justice (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $5.85 8.36 coins | 5.9% | 218 | 201.0 | 1.08× | | [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $5.03 7.19 coins | 5.8% | 245 | 229.8 | 1.07× | | [PP-Bizon \| Fuel Rod (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-fuel-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $3.50 5 coins | 3.0% | 198 | 172.3 | 1.15× | | [P90 \| Nostalgia (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-well-worn) | 15.0% | $3.32 4.74 coins | 7.2% | 425 | 430.8 | 0.99× | | [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $3.23 4.62 coins | 2.8% | 171 | 172.3 | 0.99× | | [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1.61 2.3 coins | 3.5% | 447 | 430.8 | 1.04× | | [G3SG1 \| Azure Zebra (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-azure-zebra-minimal-wear) | 17.5% | $1.39 1.98 coins | 3.5% | 456 | 502.6 | 0.91× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=magnetic) [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-field-tested) [~ZachAttack~](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/~ZachAttack~) $7.64 10.91 coins $41.03 58.61 coins 5.37x 2026-11-11 11:19 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-field-tested) [Daniel420](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Daniel420) $7.64 10.91 coins $41.03 58.61 coins 5.37x 2026-11-11 11:19 UTC [UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) [~ZachAttack~](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/~ZachAttack~) $7.64 10.91 coins $1.61 2.3 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 11:19 UTC [P90 | Nostalgia (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-well-worn) [Daniel420](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Daniel420) $7.64 10.91 coins $3.32 4.74 coins 0.43x 2026-11-11 11:19 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) [~ZachAttack~](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/~ZachAttack~) $7.64 10.91 coins $5.03 7.19 coins 0.66x 2026-11-11 11:19 UTC [P90 | Nostalgia (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-well-worn) [Daniel420](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Daniel420) $7.64 10.91 coins $3.32 4.74 coins 0.43x 2026-11-11 11:19 UTC [UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) [MoanTheAmazing](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/MoanTheAmazing) $7.64 10.91 coins $1.61 2.3 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) [ElChapo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/ElChapo) $7.64 10.91 coins $1.61 2.3 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [P90 | Nostalgia (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-well-worn) [★ UnToUcHaBlE ™](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%E2%98%85%20UnToUcHaBlE%20%E2%84%A2) $7.64 10.91 coins $3.32 4.74 coins 0.43x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-minimal-wear) [IPR17ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/IPR17%E3%83%84) $7.64 10.91 coins $10.25 14.64 coins 1.34x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 10 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $7.64 | 90.88% | 17 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $7.64 | 90.89% | 17 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $7.62 | 90.95% | 17 | | 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | $7.62 | 90.90% | 17 | | 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $7.63 | 90.90% | 17 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $7.66 | 90.91% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.5% classified 33.0% covert 3.0% restricted 29.0% industrial 6.0% mil spec 20.5% Legendary 8.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.88 on average: an expected loss of $9.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt