---
title: "Meow case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Meow ($8.67) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 16 items with odds, observed 91.96% over 4,082 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/meow
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:15Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Meow](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/meow)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Meow

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/meow?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/meow?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/meow) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/meow?window=all)

Price · $8.67 · 12.38 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $7.88 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.96% · 4,082 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 96.39% ±14.63 463 openings

7 days · 91.77% ±5.34 3,447 openings

30 days · 91.96% ±4.90 4,082 openings

since tracking started · 91.96% ±4.90 4,082 openings

81.0% 96.3% 111.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/meow?window=24h) | 463 | 96.39% ±14.6 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/meow?window=7d) | 3,447 | 91.77% ±5.34 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/meow) | 4,082 | 91.96% ±4.90 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/meow?window=all) | 4,082 | 91.96% ±4.90 | +0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,086 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $118 168 coins | 0.3% | 3 | 0.8 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $103 147 coins | 1.3% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.98× |
| [FAMAS \| Styx (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $98.00 140 coins | 12.4% | 43 | 40.9 | 1.05× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $71.42 102 coins | 4.5% | 17 | 20.4 | 0.83× |
| [MAC-10 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $34.79 49.7 coins | 0.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $32.82 46.89 coins | 1.0% | 7 | 10.2 | 0.69× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $31.26 44.66 coins | 23.8% | 240 | 245.2 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-spider-lily-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $26.99 38.56 coins | 5.1% | 70 | 61.3 | 1.14× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $21.68 30.97 coins | 11.0% | 173 | 163.4 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $14.44 20.63 coins | 9.2% | 187 | 204.3 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $12.42 17.75 coins | 7.9% | 231 | 204.3 | 1.13× |
| [P2000 \| Pathfinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pathfinder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $11.05 15.78 coins | 4.2% | 137 | 122.6 | 1.12× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Acid Etched (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-acid-etched-factory-new) | 16.0% | $6.38 9.11 coins | 13.0% | 611 | 653.8 | 0.93× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-battle-scarred) | 17.6% | $2.52 3.6 coins | 5.6% | 725 | 719.1 | 1.01× |
| [Nova \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.10 0.15 coins | 0.3% | 820 | 817.2 | 1.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Stained (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.08 0.11 coins | 0.2% | 817 | 817.2 | 1.00× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=meow)

[Nova | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.67 12.38 coins $0.10 0.15 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Stained (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-field-tested) Hidden $8.67 12.38 coins $0.08 0.11 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Stained (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-field-tested) [csongbro a dimenzió klinikábó](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/csongbro%20a%20dimenzi%C3%B3%20klinik%C3%A1b%C3%B3) $8.67 12.38 coins $0.08 0.11 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC

[StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) Hidden $8.67 12.38 coins $12.42 17.75 coins 1.43x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC

[AK-47 | Safety Net (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.67 12.38 coins $2.52 3.6 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC

[AK-47 | Safety Net (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.67 12.38 coins $2.52 3.6 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC

[AK-47 | Safety Net (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.67 12.38 coins $2.52 3.6 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC

[AK-47 | Safety Net (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.67 12.38 coins $2.52 3.6 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC

[StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) Hidden $8.67 12.38 coins $12.42 17.75 coins 1.43x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC

[AK-47 | Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) [Mang3kyou](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Mang3kyou) $8.67 12.38 coins $14.44 20.63 coins 1.67x 2026-11-11 14:41 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $8.67 | 90.92% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $8.67 | 90.88% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $8.79 | 90.90% | 16 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $8.79 | 90.89% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.6% restricted 24.5% mil spec 0.0% classified 10.3% industrial 47.0% Mythical 17.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt