--- title: "Mystery case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Mystery ($2,764.31) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.95% over 130 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/mystery rendered: 2026-11-11T13:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Mystery](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/mystery) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Mystery A case on CSGORoll, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/mystery?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/mystery?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/mystery) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/mystery?window=all) Price · $2,764.31 · 3,949 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 88.95% · 130 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 15 openings · below min 7 days · 111 openings · below min 30 days · 130 openings · below min since tracking started · 130 openings · below min 5.0% 100.3% 195.5% **Small sample.** 130 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/mystery?window=24h) | 15 | 24.29% ±2.74 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/mystery?window=7d) | 111 | 100.26% ±94.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/mystery) | 130 | 88.95% ±80.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/mystery?window=all) | 130 | 88.95% ±80.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) 4x IBP Holo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new-4x-ibp-holo-factory-new) Hidden $2,764 3,949 coins $105K 150,000 coins 37.98x 2026-11-08 12:57 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) 4x IBP Holo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new-4x-ibp-holo-factory-new) [coco](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/coco) $2,764 3,949 coins $105K 150,000 coins 37.98x 2026-11-07 19:22 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $2,749 3,927 coins $12K 17,180 coins 4.37x 2026-11-09 00:52 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $2,749 3,927 coins $12K 17,180 coins 4.37x 2026-11-09 00:15 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $2,764 3,949 coins $4,088 5,840 coins 1.48x 2026-11-04 14:15 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $2,764 3,949 coins $878 1,254 coins 0.32x 2026-11-08 14:53 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $2,764 3,949 coins $878 1,254 coins 0.32x 2026-11-08 08:34 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $2,764 3,949 coins $878 1,254 coins 0.32x 2026-11-07 20:01 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $2,764 3,949 coins $878 1,254 coins 0.32x 2026-11-07 16:36 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) [HodenAmBoden](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/HodenAmBoden) $2,764 3,949 coins $878 1,254 coins 0.32x 2026-11-07 15:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=mystery) [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $2,749 3,927 coins $541 773 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 11:08 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $2,749 3,927 coins $541 773 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 10:50 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $2,749 3,927 coins $563 804 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 10:47 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $2,749 3,927 coins $844 1,205 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 09:41 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $2,749 3,927 coins $541 773 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 09:12 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $2,749 3,927 coins $563 804 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 07:27 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $2,749 3,927 coins $844 1,205 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 06:08 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $2,749 3,927 coins $844 1,205 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 05:15 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $2,749 3,927 coins $844 1,205 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 00:10 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $2,749 3,927 coins $844 1,205 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 00:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $105K (37.98x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.95 on average: an expected loss of $11.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt