--- title: "No Sand Dune case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "No Sand Dune ($213.63) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 11 items with odds, observed 94.99% over 37 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-sand-dune rendered: 2026-11-11T18:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [No Sand Dune](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-sand-dune) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · No Sand Dune A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-sand-dune?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-sand-dune?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-sand-dune) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-sand-dune?window=all) Price · $213.63 · 305 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $194.21 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.99% · 37 openings, odds method Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 24.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 51.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 3 openings · below min 7 days · 37 openings · below min 30 days · 37 openings · below min since tracking started · 37 openings · below min 64.5% 178.0% 291.5% **Small sample.** 37 openings and 9.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-sand-dune?window=24h) | 3 | 186.00% ±104.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-sand-dune?window=7d) | 37 | 94.99% ±30.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-sand-dune) | 37 | 94.99% ±30.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-sand-dune?window=all) | 37 | 94.99% ±30.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 37 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $1,865 2,665 coins | 4.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $1,091 1,559 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $738 1,054 coins | 1.9% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 10.0% | $385 550 coins | 19.8% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× | | [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 13.0% | $361 516 coins | 24.2% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.04× | | [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 1 in 200 | $329 470 coins | 0.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $277 395 coins | 14.2% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 14.0% | $220 314 coins | 15.8% | 8 | 5.2 | 1.54× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 10.0% | $178 254 coins | 9.2% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 16.0% | $77.70 111 coins | 6.4% | 5 | 5.9 | 0.84× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 8 | 9.3 | 0.86× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $214 305 coins $738 1,054 coins 3.45x 2026-11-11 17:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=no-sand-dune) [AWP | Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) Hidden $214 305 coins $277 395 coins 1.29x 2026-11-11 17:49 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $214 305 coins $738 1,054 coins 3.45x 2026-11-11 17:49 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [Call me Johnny](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Call%20me%20Johnny) $214 305 coins $178 254 coins 0.83x 2026-11-11 17:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $214 305 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:03 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) Hidden $214 305 coins $77.70 111 coins 0.36x 2026-11-10 01:03 UTC [AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) Hidden $214 305 coins $361 516 coins 1.69x 2026-11-10 01:03 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) [karma](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/karma) $214 305 coins $220 314 coins 1.03x 2026-11-10 01:03 UTC [Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $214 305 coins $329 470 coins 1.54x 2026-11-10 01:01 UTC [M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) Hidden $214 305 coins $385 550 coins 1.80x 2026-11-10 01:01 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) Hidden $214 305 coins $220 314 coins 1.03x 2026-11-10 01:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $214 | 90.91% | 11 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $214 | 90.91% | 11 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $218 | 90.91% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.5% classified 0.5% covert 63.5% restricted 10.0% exotic 0.5% consumer 25.0% best hit $738 (3.45x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt