---
title: "No Spam case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "No Spam ($3.86) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.86% from 29 items with odds, observed 91.93% over 29.1K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-spam
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [No Spam](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-spam)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · No Spam

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-spam?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-spam?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-spam) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-spam?window=all)

Price · $3.86 · 5.52 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.86% · EV $3.51 from 29 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.93% · 29.1K openings, odds method

Variance · 5.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 21 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 90.84% ±7.89 3,060 openings

7 days · 92.38% ±2.85 23.2K openings

30 days · 91.93% ±2.55 29.1K openings

since tracking started · 91.93% ±2.55 29.1K openings

82.5% 91.0% 99.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-spam?window=24h) | 3,060 | 90.84% ±7.89 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-spam?window=7d) | 23.2K | 92.38% ±2.85 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-spam) | 29.1K | 91.93% ±2.55 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-spam?window=all) | 29.1K | 91.93% ±2.55 | +0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 29.1K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $295 421 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $104 148 coins | 1.5% | 12 | 14.6 | 0.82× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $65.72 93.89 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $57.46 82.08 coins | 0.8% | 25 | 14.6 | 1.72× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-well-worn) | 1 in 33,333 | $52.24 74.63 coins | 0.0% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $43.77 62.53 coins | 37.4% | 898 | 873.9 | 1.03× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $39.37 56.24 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 2.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 3,333 | $38.76 55.37 coins | 0.3% | 11 | 8.7 | 1.26× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $28.10 40.14 coins | 4.0% | 169 | 145.7 | 1.16× |
| [Tec-9 \| Toxic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-toxic-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $23.00 32.86 coins | 0.2% | 7 | 8.7 | 0.80× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $22.61 32.3 coins | 0.1% | 5 | 2.9 | 1.72× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $18.82 26.88 coins | 5.4% | 287 | 291.3 | 0.99× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 286 | $13.66 19.51 coins | 1.4% | 108 | 102.0 | 1.06× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $11.83 16.9 coins | 1.2% | 96 | 102.0 | 0.94× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $11.45 16.35 coins | 6.5% | 531 | 582.6 | 0.91× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $11.26 16.08 coins | 12.8% | 1,170 | 1165.2 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| Ocean Sunset Skill Surf (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ocean-sunset-skill-surf-holo) | 1 in 100 | $4.93 7.04 coins | 1.4% | 294 | 291.3 | 1.01× |
| [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 164 | $4.84 6.91 coins | 0.8% | 178 | 177.7 | 1.00× |
| [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $4.12 5.89 coins | 2.3% | 611 | 582.6 | 1.05× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $4.05 5.78 coins | 4.6% | 1,183 | 1165.2 | 1.02× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $3.83 5.47 coins | 2.2% | 589 | 582.6 | 1.01× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $3.27 4.67 coins | 2.8% | 842 | 873.9 | 0.96× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $2.51 3.58 coins | 5.0% | 1,989 | 2039.2 | 0.98× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $1.55 2.21 coins | 1.8% | 1,229 | 1165.2 | 1.05× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 11.0% | $0.78 1.12 coins | 2.5% | 3,239 | 3204.4 | 1.01× |
| [FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $0.69 0.98 coins | 1.4% | 1,937 | 2039.2 | 0.95× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $0.51 0.73 coins | 1.0% | 2,048 | 2039.2 | 1.00× |
| [Negev \| Dazzle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.23 0.33 coins | 1.3% | 5,801 | 5826.2 | 1.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Yorick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-yorick-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.17 0.24 coins | 1.0% | 5,871 | 5826.2 | 1.01× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) [User#562](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/User%23562) $3.89 5.55 coins $284 406 coins 73.15x 2026-11-06 03:50 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=no-spam)

[Sawed-Off | Yorick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-yorick-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.86 5.52 coins $0.17 0.24 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:20 UTC

[Negev | Dazzle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.86 5.52 coins $0.23 0.33 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:20 UTC

[Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) Hidden $3.86 5.52 coins $18.82 26.88 coins 4.87x 2026-11-11 17:20 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-battle-scarred) [Coonley](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Coonley) $3.86 5.52 coins $43.77 62.53 coins 11.33x 2026-11-11 17:20 UTC

[MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-well-worn) [ALT-F4](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/ALT-F4) $3.86 5.52 coins $4.05 5.78 coins 1.05x 2026-11-11 17:19 UTC

[Negev | Dazzle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-battle-scarred) [Frakzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Frakzz) $3.86 5.52 coins $0.23 0.33 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:19 UTC

[USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [Coonley](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Coonley) $3.86 5.52 coins $3.27 4.67 coins 0.85x 2026-11-11 17:18 UTC

[FAMAS | Survivor Z (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.86 5.52 coins $0.69 0.98 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 17:18 UTC

[Sticker | Ocean Sunset Skill Surf (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ocean-sunset-skill-surf-holo) Hidden $3.86 5.52 coins $4.93 7.04 coins 1.28x 2026-11-11 17:18 UTC

[P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.86 5.52 coins $11.26 16.08 coins 2.91x 2026-11-11 17:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $3.86 | 90.86% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $3.88 | 90.90% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $3.89 | 90.96% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $3.88 | 90.97% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $3.88 | 90.98% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 22:33 UTC | $3.89 | 90.85% | 29 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3.88 | 90.99% | 29 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 3.6% extraordinary 0.0% mil spec 65.7% classified 23.7% remarkable 1.0% restricted 6.0% best hit $284 (73.15x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.86 on average: an expected loss of $9.14 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt