--- title: "Odins Arsenal case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Odins Arsenal ($451.05) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 8 items with odds, observed 47.75% over 33 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/odins-arsenal rendered: 2026-11-11T21:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Odins Arsenal](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/odins-arsenal) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Odins Arsenal A case on CSGORoll (25%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/odins-arsenal?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/odins-arsenal?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/odins-arsenal) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/odins-arsenal?window=all) Price · $451.05 · 644 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $410.05 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 47.75% · 33 openings, odds method Variance · 6.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 21 openings · below min 30 days · 33 openings · below min since tracking started · 33 openings · below min -0.5% 72.5% 145.5% **Small sample.** 33 openings and 3.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/odins-arsenal?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/odins-arsenal?window=7d) | 21 | 39.81% ±105.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/odins-arsenal) | 33 | 47.75% ±82.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/odins-arsenal?window=all) | 33 | 47.75% ±82.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 33 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $11.6K 16,550 coins | 14.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $6,188 8,840 coins | 15.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $1,865 2,665 coins | 6.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $1,697 2,424 coins | 37.2% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 13.0% | $440 628 coins | 13.9% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.93× | | [UMP-45 \| Minotaur's Labyrinth (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-minotaurs-labyrinth-factory-new) | 25.0% | $92.40 132 coins | 5.6% | 6 | 8.3 | 0.73× | | [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) | 25.0% | $70.70 101 coins | 4.3% | 13 | 8.3 | 1.58× | | [P2000 \| Chainmail (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-chainmail-factory-new) | 25.0% | $46.51 66.44 coins | 2.8% | 8 | 8.3 | 0.97× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 20:32 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Medusa (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-battle-scarred) Hidden $487 695 coins $1,977 2,825 coins 4.06x 2026-11-04 12:37 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-battle-scarred) Hidden $451 644 coins $1,697 2,424 coins 3.76x 2026-11-09 07:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=odins-arsenal) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) Hidden $451 644 coins $70.70 101 coins 0.16x 2026-11-09 19:39 UTC [P2000 | Chainmail (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-chainmail-factory-new) Hidden $451 644 coins $46.51 66.44 coins 0.10x 2026-11-09 19:39 UTC [M4A4 | Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) Hidden $451 644 coins $70.70 101 coins 0.16x 2026-11-09 19:39 UTC [P2000 | Chainmail (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-chainmail-factory-new) Hidden $451 644 coins $46.51 66.44 coins 0.10x 2026-11-09 19:39 UTC [P2000 | Chainmail (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-chainmail-factory-new) Hidden $451 644 coins $46.51 66.44 coins 0.10x 2026-11-09 19:39 UTC [M4A4 | Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) [ZaneTrain](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/ZaneTrain) $451 644 coins $70.70 101 coins 0.16x 2026-11-09 19:39 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-battle-scarred) Hidden $451 644 coins $1,697 2,424 coins 3.76x 2026-11-09 07:08 UTC [M4A4 | Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) Hidden $451 644 coins $70.70 101 coins 0.16x 2026-11-09 07:08 UTC [M4A4 | Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) Hidden $451 644 coins $70.70 101 coins 0.16x 2026-11-09 07:08 UTC [P2000 | Chainmail (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-chainmail-factory-new) [zZz Destro smacks^IB](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/zZz%20Destro%20smacks%5EIB) $451 644 coins $46.51 66.44 coins 0.10x 2026-11-09 07:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $451 | 90.91% | 8 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $452 | 90.91% | 8 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $487 | 90.91% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 23.5% extraordinary 1.5% mil spec 50.0% classified 25.0% best hit $1,977 (4.06x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt