--- title: "Otherworldly case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Otherworldly ($39.37) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 10 items with odds, observed 95.87% over 630 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/otherworldly rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Otherworldly](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/otherworldly) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Otherworldly A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/otherworldly?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/otherworldly?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/otherworldly) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/otherworldly?window=all) Price · $39.37 · 56.24 coins Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $35.79 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 95.87% · 630 openings, odds method Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 21.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 71.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 13 openings · below min 7 days · 94.81% ±12.74 552 openings 30 days · 95.87% ±11.95 630 openings since tracking started · 95.87% ±11.95 630 openings -0.5% 67.0% 134.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/otherworldly?window=24h) | 13 | 53.57% ±80.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/otherworldly?window=7d) | 552 | 94.81% ±12.7 | +0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/otherworldly) | 630 | 95.87% ±12.0 | +0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/otherworldly?window=all) | 630 | 95.87% ±12.0 | +0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 630 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $402 574 coins | 5.6% | 6 | 3.1 | 1.90× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 67 | $356 508 coins | 14.9% | 9 | 9.4 | 0.95× | | [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $99.40 142 coins | 27.8% | 61 | 63.0 | 0.97× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $80.50 115 coins | 20.2% | 56 | 56.7 | 0.99× | | [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $59.89 85.56 coins | 13.4% | 58 | 50.4 | 1.15× | | [MP9 \| Airlock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-factory-new) | 14.0% | $20.05 28.65 coins | 7.8% | 89 | 88.2 | 1.01× | | [Five-SeveN \| Copper Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-factory-new) | 14.0% | $17.07 24.38 coins | 6.7% | 92 | 88.2 | 1.04× | | [AWP \| Phobos (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-factory-new) | 14.0% | $5.17 7.38 coins | 2.0% | 80 | 88.2 | 0.91× | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Supernova (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-supernova-factory-new) | 14.0% | $3.59 5.13 coins | 1.4% | 85 | 88.2 | 0.96× | | [Dual Berettas \| Ventilators (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-ventilators-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.33 0.47 coins | 0.1% | 94 | 94.5 | 0.99× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=otherworldly) [StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-supernova-factory-new) [Klass 2](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Klass%202) $39.37 56.24 coins $3.59 5.13 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 08:57 UTC [Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-ventilators-factory-new) Hidden $39.37 56.24 coins $0.33 0.47 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:57 UTC [Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-ventilators-factory-new) Hidden $39.37 56.24 coins $0.33 0.47 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:57 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) Hidden $39.37 56.24 coins $59.89 85.56 coins 1.52x 2026-11-11 08:57 UTC [AWP | Phobos (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-factory-new) Hidden $39.37 56.24 coins $5.17 7.38 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 08:55 UTC [Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-ventilators-factory-new) Hidden $39.37 56.24 coins $0.33 0.47 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:55 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) [Klass 2](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Klass%202) $39.37 56.24 coins $80.50 115 coins 2.04x 2026-11-11 08:55 UTC [Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-ventilators-factory-new) Hidden $39.37 56.24 coins $0.33 0.47 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC [Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-ventilators-factory-new) Hidden $39.37 56.24 coins $0.33 0.47 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC [Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-ventilators-factory-new) Hidden $39.37 56.24 coins $0.33 0.47 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $39.37 | 90.92% | 10 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $39.37 | 90.91% | 10 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $38.19 | 90.90% | 10 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $38.24 | 90.92% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 22.5% covert 20.5% restricted 28.0% Mythical 14.0% mil spec 15.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt