--- title: "Ouija case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Ouija ($15.43) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.89% from 13 items with odds, observed 91.33% over 5,649 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ouija rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Ouija](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ouija) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Ouija A case on CSGORoll (new, knives, 40%, gloves), first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ouija?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ouija?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ouija) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ouija?window=all) Price · $15.43 · 22.04 coins Advertised RTP · 90.89% · EV $14.02 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.33% · 5,649 openings, odds method Variance · 20.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 83.85% ±27.87 1,017 openings 7 days · 91.33% ±11.84 5,649 openings 30 days · 91.33% ±11.84 5,649 openings since tracking started · 91.33% ±11.84 5,649 openings 55.5% 84.0% 112.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ouija?window=24h) | 1,017 | 83.85% ±27.9 | −0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ouija?window=7d) | 5,649 | 91.33% ±11.8 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ouija) | 5,649 | 91.33% ±11.8 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ouija?window=all) | 5,649 | 91.33% ±11.8 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,379 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $2,615 3,735 coins | 5.6% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,720 2,457 coins | 6.1% | 5 | 3.2 | 1.57× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $723 1,033 coins | 3.6% | 5 | 4.5 | 1.12× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $587 838 coins | 4.2% | 7 | 6.4 | 1.10× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $368 526 coins | 6.6% | 13 | 15.9 | 0.82× | | [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $186 266 coins | 6.6% | 32 | 31.9 | 1.00× | | [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $94.50 135 coins | 6.7% | 52 | 63.8 | 0.82× | | [Desert Eagle \| Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $80.50 115 coins | 8.6% | 100 | 95.7 | 1.05× | | [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $46.23 66.05 coins | 8.2% | 145 | 159.5 | 0.91× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) | 34.0% | $17.09 24.41 coins | 41.4% | 2,124 | 2168.9 | 0.98× | | [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.55 0.78 coins | 0.8% | 1,281 | 1275.8 | 1.00× | | [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.54 0.77 coins | 0.8% | 1,334 | 1275.8 | 1.05× | | [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.50 0.71 coins | 0.7% | 1,279 | 1275.8 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $15.45 22.07 coins $2,615 3,735 coins 169.2x 2026-11-08 17:51 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $15.37 21.96 coins $2,594 3,705 coins 168.7x 2026-11-06 17:36 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $15.43 22.04 coins $1,720 2,457 coins 111.5x 2026-11-11 00:00 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $15.43 22.04 coins $1,720 2,457 coins 111.5x 2026-11-10 13:34 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $15.43 22.04 coins $1,720 2,457 coins 111.5x 2026-11-09 22:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $15.37 21.96 coins $1,720 2,457 coins 111.9x 2026-11-08 04:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $15.37 21.96 coins $1,720 2,457 coins 111.9x 2026-11-07 21:35 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.37 21.96 coins $750 1,071 coins 48.77x 2026-11-07 17:42 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.37 21.96 coins $750 1,071 coins 48.77x 2026-11-07 16:34 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.43 22.04 coins $723 1,033 coins 46.87x 2026-11-10 19:31 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=ouija) [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) Hidden $15.43 22.04 coins $0.55 0.78 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [MAC-10 | Ensnared (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-factory-new) Hidden $15.43 22.04 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [MAC-10 | Ensnared (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-factory-new) [Heffa](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Heffa) $15.43 22.04 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) Hidden $15.43 22.04 coins $17.09 24.41 coins 1.11x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-factory-new) Hidden $15.43 22.04 coins $46.23 66.05 coins 3.00x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) Hidden $15.43 22.04 coins $17.09 24.41 coins 1.11x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) Hidden $15.43 22.04 coins $0.54 0.77 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) Hidden $15.43 22.04 coins $0.55 0.78 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) Hidden $15.43 22.04 coins $0.54 0.77 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) Hidden $15.43 22.04 coins $17.09 24.41 coins 1.11x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $15.43 | 90.89% | 13 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $15.42 | 90.90% | 13 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $15.45 | 90.92% | 13 | | 6 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $15.37 | 90.90% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 34.5% covert 1.4% extraordinary 0.1% industrial 1.5% Legendary 2.5% Mythical 40.0% Rare 20.0% best hit $2,615 (169.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.89 on average: an expected loss of $9.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt