---
title: "Packed v2 case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Packed v2 ($22.95) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 31 items with odds, observed 96.70% over 18.1K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/packed-v2
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Packed v2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/packed-v2)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Packed v2

A case on CSGORoll (gloves, 15%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/packed-v2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/packed-v2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/packed-v2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/packed-v2?window=all)

Price · $22.95 · 32.79 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $20.87 from 31 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 96.70% · 18.1K openings, odds method

Variance · 18.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 48 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 75.71% ±25.01 1,126 openings

7 days · 94.24% ±6.76 15.6K openings

30 days · 96.70% ±6.27 18.1K openings

since tracking started · 96.70% ±6.27 18.1K openings

50.0% 76.8% 103.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/packed-v2?window=24h) | 1,126 | 75.71% ±25.0 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/packed-v2?window=7d) | 15.6K | 94.24% ±6.76 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/packed-v2) | 18.1K | 96.70% ±6.27 | +1.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/packed-v2?window=all) | 18.1K | 96.70% ±6.27 | +1.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18.1K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-pillow-punchers-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,774 6,820 coins | 2.3% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.10× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Occult (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,644 2,349 coins | 1.6% | 6 | 3.6 | 1.65× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lime Polycam (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lime-polycam-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,625 2,322 coins | 2.3% | 4 | 5.4 | 0.73× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Hand Sweaters (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-hand-sweaters-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $955 1,364 coins | 2.3% | 12 | 9.1 | 1.32× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Chocolate Chesterfield (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-chocolate-chesterfield-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $903 1,290 coins | 3.9% | 32 | 16.3 | 1.96× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Blaze (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $875 1,250 coins | 8.4% | 24 | 36.3 | 0.66× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Ultra Violent (Battle-Scarred) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-ultra-violent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $536 765 coins | 5.1% | 42 | 36.3 | 1.16× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Violet Beadwork (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-violet-beadwork-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $525 750 coins | 5.0% | 36 | 36.3 | 0.99× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Blackbook (Minimal Wear) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-blackbook-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $469 670 coins | 4.5% | 40 | 36.3 | 1.10× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Cloud Chaser (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $407 582 coins | 4.9% | 52 | 45.4 | 1.15× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Garden (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-garden-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $364 520 coins | 4.4% | 54 | 45.4 | 1.19× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Occult (Battle-Scarred) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333 | $293 419 coins | 4.2% | 62 | 54.5 | 1.14× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lime Polycam (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lime-polycam-well-worn) | 1 in 333 | $214 305 coins | 3.1% | 62 | 54.5 | 1.14× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Blackbook (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-blackbook-well-worn) | 1 in 333 | $199 284 coins | 2.9% | 56 | 54.5 | 1.03× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Dragon Fists (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-dragon-fists-minimal-wear) | 1 in 286 | $175 250 coins | 2.9% | 51 | 63.5 | 0.80× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Big Swell (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-big-swell-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $157 224 coins | 2.6% | 62 | 63.5 | 0.98× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Frosty (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-frosty-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $156 223 coins | 2.6% | 62 | 63.5 | 0.98× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Wave Chaser (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-wave-chaser-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $155 221 coins | 2.6% | 81 | 63.5 | 1.28× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Garden (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-garden-battle-scarred) | 1 in 286 | $137 195 coins | 2.3% | 68 | 63.5 | 1.07× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Sunburst (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-sunburst-well-worn) | 1 in 250 | $134 191 coins | 2.6% | 71 | 72.6 | 0.98× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Flowers (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-flowers-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $119 170 coins | 2.3% | 77 | 72.6 | 1.06× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Red Racer (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-red-racer-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $118 168 coins | 2.3% | 64 | 72.6 | 0.88× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Hand Sweaters (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-hand-sweaters-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $100 143 coins | 1.9% | 61 | 72.6 | 0.84× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Dragon Fists (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-dragon-fists-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $92.40 132 coins | 2.2% | 87 | 90.8 | 0.96× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Plum Quill (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-plum-quill-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $89.60 128 coins | 2.1% | 92 | 90.8 | 1.01× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Hand Sweaters (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-hand-sweaters-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $87.50 125 coins | 2.1% | 94 | 90.8 | 1.04× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Creme Pinstripe (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-creme-pinstripe-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $79.80 114 coins | 1.9% | 97 | 90.8 | 1.07× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Seigaiha (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-seigaiha-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $65.44 93.48 coins | 1.6% | 102 | 90.8 | 1.12× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-fully-tuned-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $40.58 57.97 coins | 13.1% | 1,240 | 1225.1 | 1.01× |
| [MP9 \| Buff Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-minimal-wear) | 42.5% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 7,722 | 7713.8 | 1.00× |
| [MP9 \| Buff Blue (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-well-worn) | 42.5% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 7,635 | 7713.8 | 0.99× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-pillow-punchers-factory-new) Hidden $23.37 33.38 coins $4,788 6,840 coins 204.9x 2026-11-06 18:19 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-pillow-punchers-factory-new) Hidden $23.37 33.38 coins $4,788 6,840 coins 204.9x 2026-11-03 12:03 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-factory-new) Hidden $23.37 33.38 coins $1,844 2,635 coins 78.94x 2026-11-07 09:09 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-factory-new) Hidden $23.37 33.38 coins $1,844 2,635 coins 78.94x 2026-11-07 05:53 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-factory-new) Hidden $23.37 33.38 coins $1,844 2,635 coins 78.94x 2026-11-06 18:51 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-factory-new) Hidden $23.37 33.38 coins $1,844 2,635 coins 78.94x 2026-11-06 18:14 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-factory-new) Hidden $23.37 33.38 coins $1,844 2,635 coins 78.94x 2026-11-06 18:13 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-factory-new) [TheLiarGod](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/TheLiarGod) $23.37 33.38 coins $1,844 2,635 coins 78.94x 2026-11-03 03:13 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lime-polycam-factory-new) Hidden $23.37 33.38 coins $1,747 2,495 coins 74.75x 2026-11-06 18:18 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lime-polycam-factory-new) Hidden $23.37 33.38 coins $1,747 2,495 coins 74.75x 2026-11-03 19:14 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=packed-v2)

[MP9 | Buff Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-minimal-wear) Hidden $22.95 32.79 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[MP9 | Buff Blue (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-well-worn) Hidden $22.95 32.79 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[MP9 | Buff Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-minimal-wear) Hidden $22.95 32.79 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[MP9 | Buff Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-minimal-wear) [Jake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jake) $22.95 32.79 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[MP9 | Buff Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-minimal-wear) Hidden $22.95 32.79 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[MP9 | Buff Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-minimal-wear) Hidden $22.95 32.79 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[MP9 | Buff Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-minimal-wear) Hidden $22.95 32.79 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[MP9 | Buff Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-minimal-wear) [wSe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/wSe) $22.95 32.79 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[MP9 | Buff Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-minimal-wear) Hidden $22.95 32.79 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[MP9 | Buff Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-minimal-wear) Hidden $22.95 32.79 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $22.95 | 90.92% | 31 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $22.88 | 90.91% | 31 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $23.37 | 90.91% | 31 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 1.7% epic 2.9% rare 10.5% common 85.0% best hit $4,788 (204.9x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt