--- title: "Pandora case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Pandora ($38.68) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 14 items with odds, observed 89.28% over 1,944 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pandora rendered: 2026-11-11T13:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Pandora](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pandora) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Pandora A case on CSGORoll (10%, knives, gloves), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pandora?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pandora?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pandora) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pandora?window=all) Price · $38.68 · 55.26 coins Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $35.16 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.28% · 1,944 openings, odds method Variance · 16.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 100.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 82.64% ±39.01 407 openings 7 days · 82.40% ±19.13 1,671 openings 30 days · 89.28% ±17.71 1,944 openings since tracking started · 89.28% ±17.71 1,944 openings 43.0% 82.8% 122.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pandora?window=24h) | 407 | 82.64% ±39.0 | −0.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pandora?window=7d) | 1,671 | 82.40% ±19.1 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pandora) | 1,944 | 89.28% ±17.7 | −0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pandora?window=all) | 1,944 | 89.28% ±17.7 | −0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,944 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $27.5K 39,250 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 33,333 | $11.4K 16,295 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 20,000 | $8,057 11,510 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,500 | $4,655 6,650 coins | 1.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,941 5,630 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $2,982 4,260 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · legendary · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 3,333 | $2,156 3,080 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,865 2,665 coins | 1.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,000 1,429 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,250 | $891 1,273 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · legendary · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,111 | $622 889 coins | 1.6% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.57× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $541 773 coins | 1.5% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.03× | | [MP9 \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $99.40 142 coins | 27.1% | 208 | 186.1 | 1.12× | | [MAC-10 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-case-hardened-field-tested) | 90.0% | $21.94 31.34 coins | 56.2% | 1,731 | 1749.6 | 0.99× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) Hidden $39.71 56.73 coins $4,830 6,900 coins 121.6x 2026-11-04 04:13 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) Hidden $39.71 56.73 coins $1,949 2,785 coins 49.09x 2026-11-06 11:48 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · legendary · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $39.71 56.73 coins $657 938 coins 16.53x 2026-11-03 15:43 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $38.68 55.26 coins $541 773 coins 13.99x 2026-11-11 10:09 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $39.71 56.73 coins $541 773 coins 13.63x 2026-11-06 02:38 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=pandora) [MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $38.68 55.26 coins $21.94 31.34 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 12:25 UTC [MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $38.68 55.26 coins $21.94 31.34 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 12:25 UTC [MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $38.68 55.26 coins $21.94 31.34 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 12:25 UTC [MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $38.68 55.26 coins $21.94 31.34 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 12:25 UTC [MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $38.68 55.26 coins $21.94 31.34 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 12:25 UTC [MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-case-hardened-field-tested) [AlienVPredatorVPlessyVFerguson](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/AlienVPredatorVPlessyVFerguson) $38.68 55.26 coins $21.94 31.34 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 12:25 UTC [MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $38.68 55.26 coins $21.94 31.34 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 10:20 UTC [MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $38.68 55.26 coins $21.94 31.34 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 10:20 UTC [MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $38.68 55.26 coins $21.94 31.34 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 10:20 UTC [MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $38.68 55.26 coins $21.94 31.34 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 10:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $38.68 | 90.90% | 14 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $38.93 | 90.91% | 14 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $39.71 | 90.92% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.1% covert 0.2% extraordinary 0.0% mil spec 9.6% restricted 90.0% best hit $4,830 (121.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt