--- title: "Pew Pew case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Pew Pew ($130.29) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 15 items with odds, observed 95.90% over 78 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pew-pew rendered: 2026-11-11T17:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Pew Pew](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pew-pew) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Pew Pew A case on CSGORoll (30%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pew-pew?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pew-pew?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pew-pew) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pew-pew?window=all) Price · $130.29 · 186 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $118.45 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 95.90% · 78 openings, odds method Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 52 openings · below min 30 days · 78 openings · below min since tracking started · 78 openings · below min 40.5% 85.0% 129.5% **Small sample.** 78 openings and 8.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pew-pew?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pew-pew?window=7d) | 52 | 81.61% ±40.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pew-pew) | 78 | 95.90% ±33.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pew-pew?window=all) | 78 | 95.90% ±33.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 78 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 500 | $1,897 2,710 coins | 3.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $1,185 1,693 coins | 3.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 222 | $941 1,345 coins | 3.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · legendary · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 100 | $772 1,103 coins | 6.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 87 | $695 993 coins | 6.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [Sticker \| Clan-Mystik \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-katowice-2014) | 1 in 37 | $639 913 coins | 14.6% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.90× | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $386 551 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Foil) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-foil-katowice-2015) | 1 in 31 | $276 394 coins | 7.6% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.79× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 50 | $246 352 coins | 4.2% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.92× | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $198 283 coins | 8.4% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.03× | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $197 281 coins | 6.6% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.64× | | [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 30.0% | $97.30 139 coins | 24.6% | 23 | 23.4 | 0.98× | | [USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-factory-new) | 20.0% | $25.77 36.81 coins | 4.4% | 16 | 15.6 | 1.03× | | [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $15.30 21.85 coins | 1.1% | 6 | 6.7 | 0.89× | | [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-well-worn) | 20.0% | $7.74 11.05 coins | 1.3% | 17 | 15.6 | 1.09× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $130 186 coins $1,925 2,750 coins 14.78x 2026-11-03 22:29 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-katowice-2014) Hidden $130 186 coins $655 935 coins 5.03x 2026-11-07 12:54 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-katowice-2014) Hidden $130 186 coins $655 935 coins 5.03x 2026-11-06 01:26 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-katowice-2014) Hidden $130 186 coins $655 935 coins 5.03x 2026-11-04 19:52 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-katowice-2014) Hidden $130 186 coins $639 913 coins 4.91x 2026-11-09 21:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=pew-pew) [Sticker | Clan-Mystik | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-katowice-2014) Hidden $130 186 coins $639 913 coins 4.91x 2026-11-09 21:59 UTC [USP-S | Royal Blue (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-well-worn) Hidden $130 186 coins $7.74 11.05 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 21:59 UTC [USP-S | Royal Blue (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-well-worn) Hidden $130 186 coins $7.74 11.05 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 21:59 UTC [USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) [Nxxh](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Nxxh) $130 186 coins $97.30 139 coins 0.75x 2026-11-09 21:59 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $130 186 coins $15.30 21.85 coins 0.12x 2026-11-09 21:59 UTC [USP-S | Royal Blue (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-well-worn) Hidden $130 186 coins $7.74 11.05 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 21:59 UTC [USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $130 186 coins $97.30 139 coins 0.75x 2026-11-09 21:59 UTC [USP-S | Royal Blue (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-well-worn) [Nxxh](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Nxxh) $130 186 coins $7.74 11.05 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 21:59 UTC [USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $130 186 coins $95.20 136 coins 0.73x 2026-11-07 12:54 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-katowice-2014) Hidden $130 186 coins $655 935 coins 5.03x 2026-11-07 12:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $130 | 90.91% | 15 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $130 | 90.91% | 15 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $130 | 90.91% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 37.8% extraordinary 0.3% legendary 1.0% high 2.7% restricted 1.3% exotic 3.3% classified 5.0% mil spec 28.6% industrial 20.0% best hit $1,925 (14.78x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt