--- title: "Pink Clouds case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Pink Clouds ($230.24) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 20 items with odds, observed 59.61% over 41 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pink-clouds rendered: 2026-11-11T15:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Pink Clouds](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pink-clouds) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Pink Clouds A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pink-clouds?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pink-clouds?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pink-clouds) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pink-clouds?window=all) Price · $230.24 · 329 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $209.32 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 59.61% · 41 openings, odds method Variance · 11.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 23.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 41 openings · below min 30 days · 41 openings · below min since tracking started · 41 openings · below min -0.5% 82.3% 165.0% **Small sample.** 41 openings and 9.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pink-clouds?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pink-clouds?window=7d) | 41 | 59.61% ±104.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pink-clouds) | 41 | 59.61% ±104.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pink-clouds?window=all) | 41 | 59.61% ±104.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 41 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 4,000 | $25K 35,730 coins | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) | 1 in 2,000 | $22.4K 32,005 coins | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 6,667 | $20.8K 29,650 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 370 | $5,040 7,200 coins | 6.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,305 6,150 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Clan-Mystik (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,250 | $4,288 6,125 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-katowice-2014) | 1 in 667 | $4,035 5,765 coins | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $3,136 4,480 coins | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Twistzz (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-twistzz-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 303 | $1,610 2,300 coins | 2.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| somebody (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-somebody-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 200 | $1,319 1,884 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| rain (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 80 | $704 1,005 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Sticker \| JW (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jw-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 133 | $448 640 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| AdreN (Gold) \| London 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-adren-gold-london-2018) | 1 in 67 | $360 514 coins | 2.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Sticker \| Edward (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-edward-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 111 | $321 459 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Sticker \| Attacker (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-attacker-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 50 | $188 268 coins | 1.8% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Sticker \| S0tF1k (Gold) \| London 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s0tf1k-gold-london-2018) | 15.0% | $162 231 coins | 11.6% | 5 | 6.1 | 0.81× | | [Sticker \| AZR (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-azr-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 14 | $160 229 coins | 5.4% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.70× | | [Sticker \| nitr0 (Gold) \| London 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nitr0-gold-london-2018) | 25.0% | $160 228 coins | 19.1% | 13 | 10.3 | 1.27× | | [Sticker \| KRIMZ (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-krimz-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 20 | $124 177 coins | 3.0% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.46× | | [Sticker \| somebody (Foil) \| Boston 2018 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-somebody-foil-boston-2018) | 39.9% | $93.80 134 coins | 17.9% | 16 | 16.4 | 0.98× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=pink-clouds) [Sticker | S0tF1k (Gold) | London 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s0tf1k-gold-london-2018) Hidden $230 329 coins $162 231 coins 0.70x 2026-11-10 00:23 UTC [Sticker | AdreN (Gold) | London 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-adren-gold-london-2018) Hidden $230 329 coins $360 514 coins 1.56x 2026-11-10 00:23 UTC [Sticker | S0tF1k (Gold) | London 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s0tf1k-gold-london-2018) Hidden $230 329 coins $162 231 coins 0.70x 2026-11-10 00:23 UTC [Sticker | KRIMZ (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-krimz-gold-boston-2018) [BeastafiedBeast](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BeastafiedBeast) $230 329 coins $124 177 coins 0.54x 2026-11-10 00:23 UTC [Sticker | KRIMZ (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-krimz-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $230 329 coins $124 177 coins 0.54x 2026-11-09 13:33 UTC [Sticker | nitr0 (Gold) | London 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nitr0-gold-london-2018) Hidden $230 329 coins $160 228 coins 0.69x 2026-11-09 13:33 UTC [Sticker | nitr0 (Gold) | London 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nitr0-gold-london-2018) Hidden $230 329 coins $160 228 coins 0.69x 2026-11-09 13:33 UTC [Sticker | KRIMZ (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-krimz-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $230 329 coins $124 177 coins 0.54x 2026-11-09 13:33 UTC [Sticker | somebody (Foil) | Boston 2018 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-somebody-foil-boston-2018) Hidden $230 329 coins $93.80 134 coins 0.41x 2026-11-09 13:33 UTC [Sticker | nitr0 (Gold) | London 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nitr0-gold-london-2018) [560 HP](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/560%20HP) $230 329 coins $160 228 coins 0.69x 2026-11-09 13:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $230 | 90.91% | 20 | | 3 Nov, 15:54 UTC | $230 | 90.91% | 20 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $230 | 90.91% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed base 0.1% remarkable 40.2% legendary 0.2% high 0.4% extraordinary 59.2% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt