---
title: "Pinpoint case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Pinpoint ($62.51) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 31 items with odds, observed 82.69% over 741 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pinpoint
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Pinpoint](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pinpoint)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Pinpoint

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pinpoint?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pinpoint?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pinpoint) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pinpoint?window=all)

Price · $62.51 · 89.3 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $56.83 from 31 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 82.69% · 741 openings, odds method

Variance · 13.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 28 openings · below min

7 days · 96.67% ±31.80 488 openings

30 days · 82.69% ±25.79 741 openings

since tracking started · 82.69% ±25.79 741 openings

-0.5% 112.5% 225.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pinpoint?window=24h) | 28 | 91.73% ±133.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pinpoint?window=7d) | 488 | 96.67% ±31.8 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pinpoint) | 741 | 82.69% ±25.8 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pinpoint?window=all) | 741 | 82.69% ±25.8 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 741 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100,000 | $17.6K 25,125 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $5,548 7,925 coins | 4.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $3,941 5,630 coins | 3.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 800 | $2,909 4,155 coins | 6.4% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 800 | $1,939 2,770 coins | 4.3% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,897 2,710 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 444 | $1,003 1,433 coins | 4.0% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 400 | $771 1,101 coins | 3.4% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.08× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $511 730 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 267 | $374 534 coins | 2.5% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.44× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 267 | $300 429 coins | 2.0% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.36× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 154 | $287 410 coins | 3.3% | 1 | 4.8 | 0.21× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $267 382 coins | 3.5% | 3 | 5.6 | 0.54× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 200 | $248 355 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 3.7 | 0.00× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $225 321 coins | 2.0% | 10 | 3.7 | 2.70× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $223 318 coins | 5.9% | 6 | 11.1 | 0.54× |
| [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $190 271 coins | 2.5% | 7 | 5.6 | 1.26× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $181 258 coins | 4.8% | 11 | 11.1 | 0.99× |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Charred (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $170 243 coins | 7.5% | 16 | 18.5 | 0.86× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $118 169 coins | 3.1% | 10 | 11.1 | 0.90× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $109 156 coins | 4.8% | 18 | 18.5 | 0.97× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $102 145 coins | 4.5% | 16 | 18.5 | 0.86× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $96.60 138 coins | 4.2% | 22 | 18.5 | 1.19× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) weapon · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 40 | $85.40 122 coins | 3.8% | 16 | 18.5 | 0.86× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $44.24 63.2 coins | 1.9% | 21 | 18.5 | 1.13× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 10.0% | $39.55 56.5 coins | 7.0% | 69 | 74.1 | 0.93× |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Pit Viper (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $16.93 24.18 coins | 0.4% | 5 | 11.1 | 0.45× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-well-worn) | 12.0% | $9.09 12.99 coins | 1.9% | 89 | 88.9 | 1.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-battle-scarred) | 12.0% | $2.40 3.43 coins | 0.5% | 95 | 88.9 | 1.07× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Highwayman (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-highwayman-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $2.07 2.95 coins | 0.7% | 164 | 148.0 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Armor Core (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-armor-core-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.27 1.81 coins | 0.4% | 151 | 148.2 | 1.02× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [Vilkkuzi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Vilkkuzi) $64.29 91.84 coins $3,969 5,670 coins 61.74x 2026-11-05 17:43 UTC

[AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) [Jake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jake) $64.29 91.84 coins $2,968 4,240 coins 46.17x 2026-11-04 20:11 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $64.29 91.84 coins $2,040 2,915 coins 31.74x 2026-11-04 18:25 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $64.29 91.84 coins $2,040 2,915 coins 31.74x 2026-11-04 15:11 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $64.29 91.84 coins $781 1,116 coins 12.15x 2026-11-04 18:30 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $62.51 89.3 coins $771 1,101 coins 12.33x 2026-11-08 23:48 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=pinpoint)

[M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-battle-scarred) [Arcs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Arcs) $62.51 89.3 coins $2.40 3.43 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 05:47 UTC

[M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-battle-scarred) Hidden $62.51 89.3 coins $2.40 3.43 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 05:47 UTC

[M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-battle-scarred) Hidden $62.51 89.3 coins $2.40 3.43 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 05:47 UTC

[SSG 08 | Death Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $62.51 89.3 coins $190 271 coins 3.03x 2026-11-11 05:47 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP7 | Armor Core (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-armor-core-factory-new) Hidden $62.51 89.3 coins $1.27 1.81 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 21:50 UTC

[M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-battle-scarred) [Ginsel](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Ginsel) $62.51 89.3 coins $2.40 3.43 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 21:50 UTC

[M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-battle-scarred) Hidden $62.51 89.3 coins $2.40 3.43 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 21:50 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-well-worn) Hidden $62.51 89.3 coins $9.09 12.99 coins 0.15x 2026-11-10 21:50 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) weapon · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $62.51 89.3 coins $85.40 122 coins 1.37x 2026-11-10 21:50 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-well-worn) Hidden $62.51 89.3 coins $225 321 coins 3.59x 2026-11-10 21:50 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 08:16 UTC | $62.51 | 90.91% | 31 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $62.51 | 90.91% | 31 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $62.54 | 90.91% | 31 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $64.29 | 90.91% | 31 |
| 4 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $64.29 | 90.91% | 31 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $64.28 | 90.91% | 31 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.3% covert 30.5% extraordinary 3.0% classified 0.8% restricted 45.5% mil spec 20.0% best hit $3,969 (61.74x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt