---
title: "Power case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Power ($12.08) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.88% from 17 items with odds, observed 90.55% over 1,987 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/power
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Power](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/power)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Power

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/power?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/power?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/power) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/power?window=all)

Price · $12.08 · 17.25 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.88% · EV $10.97 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.55% · 1,987 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 30.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 91.45% ±13.53 262 openings

7 days · 89.35% ±5.51 1,527 openings

30 days · 90.55% ±4.81 1,987 openings

since tracking started · 90.55% ±4.81 1,987 openings

77.5% 91.5% 105.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/power?window=24h) | 262 | 91.45% ±13.5 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/power?window=7d) | 1,527 | 89.35% ±5.51 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/power) | 1,987 | 90.55% ±4.81 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/power?window=all) | 1,987 | 90.55% ±4.81 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,987 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $118 169 coins | 1.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $90.30 129 coins | 10.7% | 30 | 25.8 | 1.16× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $78.40 112 coins | 1.8% | 6 | 5.0 | 1.21× |
| [M4A1-S \| Moss Quartz (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-moss-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 286 | $66.84 95.48 coins | 2.1% | 7 | 7.0 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $61.13 87.33 coins | 4.5% | 12 | 15.9 | 0.75× |
| [ESL One Cologne 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-challengers) | 1 in 200 | $60.06 85.8 coins | 2.7% | 9 | 9.9 | 0.91× |
| [P2000 \| Woodsman (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $25.61 36.58 coins | 10.5% | 84 | 89.4 | 0.94× |
| [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 59 | $21.01 30.01 coins | 3.3% | 38 | 33.8 | 1.12× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $14.98 21.4 coins | 8.2% | 124 | 119.2 | 1.04× |
| [MP9 \| Setting Sun (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-well-worn) | 15.0% | $11.58 16.54 coins | 15.8% | 298 | 298.1 | 1.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-well-worn) | 12.6% | $11.18 15.97 coins | 12.9% | 235 | 250.8 | 0.94× |
| [FAMAS \| Sergeant (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sergeant-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $8.97 12.82 coins | 5.9% | 161 | 142.7 | 1.13× |
| [P90 \| Sunset Lily (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sunset-lily-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $8.75 12.5 coins | 2.2% | 44 | 55.6 | 0.79× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-well-worn) | 15.4% | $5.83 8.33 coins | 8.2% | 289 | 306.0 | 0.94× |
| [P90 \| Schematic (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-schematic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $4.47 6.38 coins | 1.4% | 72 | 69.5 | 1.04× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Fuel Rod (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-fuel-rod-factory-new) | 14.0% | $3.50 5 coins | 4.5% | 294 | 278.2 | 1.06× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) | 14.0% | $3.38 4.83 coins | 4.3% | 283 | 278.2 | 1.02× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=power)

[P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) Hidden $12.08 17.25 coins $3.38 4.83 coins 0.28x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC

[MP9 | Setting Sun (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-well-worn) Hidden $12.08 17.25 coins $11.58 16.54 coins 0.96x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC

[MP9 | Setting Sun (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-well-worn) [Breezy™](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Breezy%E2%84%A2) $12.08 17.25 coins $11.58 16.54 coins 0.96x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-well-worn) Hidden $12.08 17.25 coins $5.83 8.33 coins 0.48x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[MP9 | Setting Sun (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-well-worn) Hidden $12.08 17.25 coins $11.58 16.54 coins 0.96x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[Glock-18 | Reactor (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-well-worn) [Breezy™](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Breezy%E2%84%A2) $12.08 17.25 coins $11.18 15.97 coins 0.93x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-well-worn) [Breezy™](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Breezy%E2%84%A2) $12.08 17.25 coins $5.83 8.33 coins 0.48x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $12.08 17.25 coins $61.13 87.33 coins 5.06x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC

[Glock-18 | Reactor (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-well-worn) Hidden $12.08 17.25 coins $11.18 15.97 coins 0.93x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC

[P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) [Corteco](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Corteco) $12.08 17.25 coins $3.38 4.83 coins 0.28x 2026-11-11 11:32 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $12.08 | 90.88% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $12.26 | 90.93% | 17 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $12.17 | 90.92% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 35.5% covert 2.4% industrial 3.1% base 0.5% restricted 27.4% mil spec 31.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.88 on average: an expected loss of $9.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt