--- title: "Prayer case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Prayer ($75.16) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 23 items with odds, observed 88.66% over 44 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/prayer rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Prayer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/prayer) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Prayer A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/prayer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/prayer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/prayer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/prayer?window=all) Price · $75.16 · 107 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $68.33 from 23 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.66% · 44 openings, odds method Variance · 3.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 25.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 64.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 41 openings · below min 30 days · 44 openings · below min since tracking started · 44 openings · below min 30.0% 89.5% 149.0% **Small sample.** 44 openings and 11.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/prayer?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/prayer?window=7d) | 41 | 89.51% ±59.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/prayer) | 44 | 88.66% ±57.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/prayer?window=all) | 44 | 88.66% ±57.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 44 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 5,000 | $8,869 12,670 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,096 1,566 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $563 804 coins | 6.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $545 779 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 667 | $403 575 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $307 438 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $189 270 coins | 5.5% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Charred (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-field-tested) | 1 in 87 | $170 243 coins | 2.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 125 | $150 214 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $118 169 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 18.8% | $116 166 coins | 31.9% | 10 | 8.3 | 1.21× | | [AWP \| Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $114 163 coins | 1.7% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $112 160 coins | 1.6% | 2 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $109 155 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $96.60 138 coins | 1.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Sawed-Off \| Copper (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-copper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $92.40 132 coins | 2.7% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $89.60 128 coins | 2.6% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $77.00 110 coins | 2.3% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-field-tested) | 20.0% | $74.90 107 coins | 21.9% | 8 | 8.8 | 0.91× | | [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $57.26 81.8 coins | 2.5% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.52× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $49.83 71.18 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Sticker \| Fire Serpent Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fire-serpent-surf-k-foil) | 20.0% | $6.95 9.93 coins | 2.0% | 6 | 8.8 | 0.68× | | [Sticker \| bondik \| Boston 2018 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bondik-boston-2018) | 20.0% | $4.58 6.54 coins | 1.3% | 9 | 8.8 | 1.02× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=prayer) [Sticker | bondik | Boston 2018 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bondik-boston-2018) [\`FluffyFlow⭕⃤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%60FluffyFlow%E2%AD%95%E2%83%A4) $75.16 107 coins $4.58 6.54 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 18:03 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-minimal-wear) Hidden $75.16 107 coins $112 160 coins 1.49x 2026-11-09 18:03 UTC [Sticker | bondik | Boston 2018 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bondik-boston-2018) Hidden $75.16 107 coins $4.58 6.54 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 18:02 UTC [Sawed-Off | Copper (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-copper-minimal-wear) Hidden $75.16 107 coins $92.40 132 coins 1.23x 2026-11-09 18:02 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) [\`FluffyFlow⭕⃤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%60FluffyFlow%E2%AD%95%E2%83%A4) $75.16 107 coins $77.00 110 coins 1.02x 2026-11-09 18:02 UTC [Sticker | Fire Serpent Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fire-serpent-surf-k-foil) Hidden $75.73 108 coins $7.63 10.9 coins 0.10x 2026-11-08 08:19 UTC [SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) Hidden $75.73 108 coins $116 166 coins 1.53x 2026-11-08 08:19 UTC [Sticker | Fire Serpent Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fire-serpent-surf-k-foil) [IDKas](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/IDKas) $75.73 108 coins $7.63 10.9 coins 0.10x 2026-11-08 08:19 UTC [Sticker | bondik | Boston 2018 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bondik-boston-2018) [sar haozar](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/sar%20haozar) $75.73 108 coins $4.59 6.55 coins 0.06x 2026-11-07 02:05 UTC [SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) Hidden $75.73 108 coins $116 166 coins 1.53x 2026-11-07 02:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $75.16 | 90.91% | 23 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $75.29 | 90.91% | 23 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $75.73 | 90.91% | 23 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 45.5% rare 0.8% extraordinary 2.3% classified 6.5% mil spec 2.0% restricted 3.0% exotic 20.0% high 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt