---
title: "Pressure case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Pressure ($102.55) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 23 items with odds, observed 90.89% over 445 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pressure
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Pressure](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pressure)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Pressure

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pressure?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pressure?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pressure) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pressure?window=all)

Price · $102.55 · 147 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $93.23 from 23 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.89% · 445 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 31.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 20 openings · below min

7 days · 88.16% ±7.99 367 openings

30 days · 90.89% ±7.27 445 openings

since tracking started · 90.89% ±7.27 445 openings

69.0% 103.5% 138.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pressure?window=24h) | 20 | 103.38% ±33.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pressure?window=7d) | 367 | 88.16% ±7.99 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pressure) | 445 | 90.89% ±7.27 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pressure?window=all) | 445 | 90.89% ±7.27 | −0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 446 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,108 1,583 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 1,111 | $617 882 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new-2) | 1 in 67 | $412 589 coins | 6.6% | 4 | 6.7 | 0.60× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,000 | $356 508 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 133 | $346 494 coins | 2.8% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.90× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $328 469 coins | 3.5% | 6 | 4.5 | 1.35× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 625 | $291 415 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) | 1 in 77 | $281 402 coins | 3.9% | 6 | 5.8 | 1.03× |
| [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $262 374 coins | 8.4% | 16 | 13.4 | 1.20× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 286 | $225 321 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 56 | $143 204 coins | 2.8% | 12 | 8.0 | 1.49× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $134 192 coins | 0.4% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $107 153 coins | 4.6% | 15 | 17.8 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $107 153 coins | 5.7% | 28 | 22.3 | 1.26× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) | 12.0% | $90.30 129 coins | 11.6% | 47 | 53.5 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $89.60 128 coins | 7.7% | 41 | 35.7 | 1.15× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) | 15.0% | $88.20 126 coins | 14.2% | 65 | 66.9 | 0.97× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $81.90 117 coins | 8.3% | 38 | 42.1 | 0.90× |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $77.70 111 coins | 8.3% | 55 | 44.6 | 1.23× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $74.90 107 coins | 1.8% | 16 | 9.8 | 1.63× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $65.46 93.51 coins | 4.6% | 26 | 29.0 | 0.90× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $60.41 86.3 coins | 1.6% | 8 | 11.2 | 0.72× |
| [Sticker \| Vigilance (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vigilance-holo) | 15.0% | $1.57 2.24 coins | 0.3% | 58 | 66.9 | 0.87× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=pressure)

[P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) [Tyrone](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Tyrone) $103 147 coins $90.30 129 coins 0.88x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) Hidden $103 147 coins $88.20 126 coins 0.86x 2026-11-11 11:33 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) [Tyrone](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Tyrone) $103 147 coins $281 402 coins 2.74x 2026-11-11 11:27 UTC

[Sticker | Vigilance (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vigilance-holo) Hidden $103 147 coins $1.57 2.24 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:45 UTC

[M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) Hidden $103 147 coins $77.70 111 coins 0.76x 2026-11-11 09:39 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) Hidden $103 147 coins $89.60 128 coins 0.87x 2026-11-11 09:17 UTC

[Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) Hidden $103 147 coins $81.90 117 coins 0.80x 2026-11-11 08:03 UTC

[AK-47 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) [doop](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/doop) $103 147 coins $107 153 coins 1.04x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC

[P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) Hidden $103 147 coins $90.30 129 coins 0.88x 2026-11-11 01:59 UTC

[Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) [Fasy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Fasy) $103 147 coins $81.90 117 coins 0.80x 2026-11-11 01:59 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $103 | 90.91% | 23 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $104 | 90.91% | 23 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $104 | 90.91% | 23 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 64.3% restricted 4.5% extraordinary 0.3% classified 16.0% remarkable 15.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt